{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "ari-at-dal-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-01T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 2 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 1 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "ARI",
      "name": "Arizona Cardinals"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "DAL",
      "name": "Dallas Cowboys"
    }
  },
  "venue": "AT&T Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 22.8,
    "home": 32.6
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.359582+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "ARI": {
        "qb": "Jacoby Brissett",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Jacoby Brissett remains the listed starter.",
        "material_availability": "Michael Wilson and Jeremiyah Love were limited Thursday. Tyler Allgeier improved to limited work; Jon Gaines II and Walter Nolen remained out of practice.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.128520+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.359582+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/news/injury-report-week-8-vs-cowboys",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.987139+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "DAL": {
        "qb": "Dak Prescott",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Dak Prescott remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "George Pickens and Quinnen Williams remained limited Thursday. KaVontae Turpin and Dee Winters missed both practices; Luke Schoonmaker was added as a non-participant.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.dallascowboys.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.102434+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.dallascowboys.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.911918+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Dallas has the passing edge; Arizona has a route underneath",
    "intro": "The Cowboys are favoured, but Arizona's short passing offers a way to stay connected.",
    "story": [
      "Dallas comes home after winning in Philadelphia, while Arizona lost to Denver after its narrow victory over the Rams. Neither side has produced consistent results. The Cowboys' stronger model forecast is useful context, but the current handicap absorbs much of that advantage.",
      "Dallas has its strongest model opportunity deep to the right. Arizona's positive matchup is shorter, to the right, where a high-volume option such as McBride can help Brissett keep possessions moving. These are team passing-area tendencies, rather than a claim about any receiver's alignment.",
      "Pickens' limited practice and Turpin's absence from Thursday practice matter to Dallas' receiving depth. Arizona is watching Wilson's ribs and the health of both Allgeier and Love. Lamb and Williams give the Cowboys established ways to build pressure without needing every drive to produce a long completion."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Pickens and Wilson: both receiving groups have material practice limitations.",
      "Arizona's ability to sustain short completions and avoid falling behind the chains.",
      "The Dallas handicap. Further movement toward the Cowboys would reduce the modest model advantage."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Trey McBride",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "Arizona's leading target recipient offers Brissett a regular outlet against Dallas.",
        "player_id": "00-0037744",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 78,
        "team_targets": 272,
        "receptions": 59,
        "receiving_yards": 472,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Michael Wilson",
        "label": "Limited practice",
        "note": "His rib injury matters to an attack already relying heavily on its established receiving options.",
        "player_id": "00-0038559",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 66,
        "team_targets": 272,
        "receptions": 37,
        "receiving_yards": 375,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": 11,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "CeeDee Lamb",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "The largest receiving workload in this matchup belongs to Lamb.",
        "player_id": "00-0036358",
        "team": "DAL",
        "targets": 81,
        "team_targets": 266,
        "receptions": 53,
        "receiving_yards": 651,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": -6,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 6
      },
      {
        "name": "Javonte Williams",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "A productive ground game would let Dallas choose when to pursue its deeper passing opportunities.",
        "player_id": "00-0036997",
        "team": "DAL",
        "targets": 22,
        "team_targets": 266,
        "receptions": 19,
        "receiving_yards": 103,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 110,
        "rushing_yards": 472,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 9
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "DAL",
      "defense": "ARI",
      "label": "deep-right passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "ARI",
      "defense": "DAL",
      "label": "short-right passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 9.8,
    "model_total": 55.4,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "DAL -6.5",
      "direction": "home",
      "line": -6.5,
      "book": "PointsBet (AU)",
      "price": 1.83,
      "edge": 3.3,
      "tier": "LEAN",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Over 53.5",
      "direction": "over",
      "line": 53.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.88,
      "edge": 1.9,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-8-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:43.964426+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Jacoby Brissett",
      "team": "ARI",
      "source_team": "ARI",
      "dropbacks": 530,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 355,
        "epa": 0.241
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 175,
        "epa": -0.525
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Dak Prescott",
      "team": "DAL",
      "source_team": "DAL",
      "dropbacks": 631,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 440,
        "epa": 0.36
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 191,
        "epa": -0.28
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}