{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "ari-at-sea-2026-w9",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-08T21:25:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 9 Nov, 8:25am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 8 Nov, 4:25pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "ARI",
      "name": "Arizona Cardinals"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "SEA",
      "name": "Seattle Seahawks"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Lumen Field",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-05T14:07:24.716391+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "ARI": {
        "qb": "Gardner Minshew II",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Gardner Minshew has been named the starter, with Carson Beck the backup.",
        "material_availability": "Jeremiyah Love and Kendrick Bourne are on injured reserve. Bam Knight missed Wednesday with a concussion; Michael Wilson was limited with rib issues.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.152100+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.948730+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/news/jeremiyah-love-kendrick-bourne-placed-on-injured-reserve",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.202094+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/news/gardner-minshew-named-cardinals-starting-quarterback-carson-beck-made-backup",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:05:58.739397+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "SEA": {
        "qb": "Drew Lock",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Sam Darnold is out. Seattle plans to start Drew Lock, who was limited with an elbow injury.",
        "material_availability": "Charles Cross, Rashid Shaheed and Leonard Williams were estimated as non-participants. All three still have a chance to play.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/team/depth-chart/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:20.602464+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:21.901756+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/news/week-9-injury-report-cardinals-at-seahawks",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:21.170758+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/news/seahawks-qb-sam-darnold-out-for-sunday-s-game-vs-arizona-due-to-quad-injury",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:22.496134+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Two new quarterback plans change the rematch",
    "intro": "Arizona turns to Minshew. Seattle plans to use Lock with Darnold out. The old team averages cannot resolve those changes.",
    "story": [
      "Arizona recovered to beat Dallas 33-30 in overtime after Minshew replaced Brissett. Seattle lost 34-17 to Chicago and now faces a shorter week without Darnold. The Cardinals have momentum from that comeback, but they are also missing Love and Bourne, so the personnel around their new starter has changed.",
      "Lock is expected to start while working through an elbow problem; Milroe is the alternative. Seattle’s line and receiving availability are also unsettled. There is enough movement here to make a precise handicap look more authoritative than the evidence warrants. Both markets are unrated under the existing quarterback rules."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Lock’s throwing capacity and Seattle’s final quarterback plan.",
      "Minshew sustaining the Dallas response over a full game.",
      "Cross and Shaheed for Seattle, and Arizona’s reshuffled backfield."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Tyler Allgeier",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0037263",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 22,
        "team_targets": 313,
        "receptions": 21,
        "receiving_yards": 128,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 72,
        "rushing_yards": 323,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Trey McBride",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0037744",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 86,
        "team_targets": 313,
        "receptions": 66,
        "receiving_yards": 544,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 5
      },
      {
        "name": "Emanuel Wilson",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0038797",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 9,
        "team_targets": 249,
        "receptions": 6,
        "receiving_yards": 65,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 111,
        "rushing_yards": 403,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Jaxon Smith-Njigba",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0038543",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 89,
        "team_targets": 249,
        "receptions": 64,
        "receiving_yards": 985,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 29,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 9
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "ARI",
      "label": "deep-right passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "ARI",
      "label": "runs off left tackle"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.789052+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w08-c2f54775e6d5",
    "source_sha256": "c2f54775e6d54bedf003af2776987eddce7eb2eaf35f05a4039fc7268b44675e"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 14255,
    "ftn_games": 121,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-9-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:17.916727+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Gardner Minshew II",
      "team": "ARI",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Drew Lock",
      "team": "SEA",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}
