{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "atl-at-tb-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-01T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 2 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 1 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "ATL",
      "name": "Atlanta Falcons"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "TB",
      "name": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Raymond James Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:16.088434+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "ATL": {
        "qb": "Michael Penix Jr.",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Michael Penix Jr. remains the listed starter.",
        "material_availability": "Brian Robinson Jr. missed Thursday practice. Jawaan Taylor and several defenders were limited, including A.J. Terrell, Billy Bowman Jr. and Divine Deablo.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.256256+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:13.498774+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/falcons-injury-report-billy-bowman-jr-aj-terrell-tampa-bay",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:14.870170+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/atlanta-falcons-week-8-depth-chart-vs-tampa-bay-buccaneers",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:15.144312+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "TB": {
        "qb": "Baker Mayfield",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Baker Mayfield practised fully Wednesday and Thursday with his right-thumb injury listed.",
        "material_availability": "Emeka Egbuka remained limited Thursday and Luke Goedeke missed practice. Kenny Gainwell returned to limited work. Chris Godwin Jr. and Bucky Irving were rested.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.buccaneers.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:15.000841+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.buccaneers.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:16.088434+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.buccaneers.com/news/buccaneers-falcons-injury-report-oct-29-week-8-2026",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:15.359738+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "The backfields shape an open division matchup",
    "intro": "Bijan Robinson and Bucky Irving provide the clearest starting points as both teams look to build on wins.",
    "story": [
      "Atlanta ended a losing run by beating San Francisco, while Tampa Bay produced its best scoring result of the season at Carolina. Both now have a chance to build momentum. The outlook for Atlanta's returning quarterback keeps this game unrated.",
      "The historical team matchup areas point toward outside runs: Tampa Bay to the left and Atlanta to the right. Robinson and Irving carry substantial workloads, making the running game an obvious place to start. Those team-history figures do not establish a Penix-specific forecast.",
      "Mayfield has practised fully with his thumb injury listed. Tampa Bay is still watching Egbuka and Goedeke, while Atlanta has limitations across its defence and offensive line. London gives Penix an established receiving option if Tampa Bay commits extra attention to Robinson."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Egbuka and Goedeke, with receiving depth and protection both relevant to Mayfield.",
      "Atlanta's defensive availability against Irving and Tampa Bay's passing options.",
      "Whether either running game can create manageable passing situations."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Bijan Robinson",
        "label": "Two-way workload",
        "note": "Atlanta's main rushing threat also has a substantial receiving role; Brian Robinson's absence from practice adds context.",
        "player_id": "00-0038542",
        "team": "ATL",
        "targets": 32,
        "team_targets": 192,
        "receptions": 25,
        "receiving_yards": 189,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 131,
        "rushing_yards": 704,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 5
      },
      {
        "name": "Drake London",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "Penix's leading target recipient provides an established passing option alongside the running game.",
        "player_id": "00-0037238",
        "team": "ATL",
        "targets": 56,
        "team_targets": 192,
        "receptions": 38,
        "receiving_yards": 616,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": 4,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "Bucky Irving",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "His rushing workload gives Tampa Bay another way to build on last week's offensive recovery.",
        "player_id": "00-0039361",
        "team": "TB",
        "targets": 23,
        "team_targets": 198,
        "receptions": 18,
        "receiving_yards": 78,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 120,
        "rushing_yards": 558,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 5
      },
      {
        "name": "Emeka Egbuka",
        "label": "Limited practice",
        "note": "The team's leading target recipient remains limited with concussion and foot injuries listed.",
        "player_id": "00-0040129",
        "team": "TB",
        "targets": 49,
        "team_targets": 198,
        "receptions": 28,
        "receiving_yards": 240,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": 11,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "TB",
      "defense": "ATL",
      "label": "runs off left end"
    },
    {
      "offense": "ATL",
      "defense": "TB",
      "label": "runs off right end"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-8-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:43.964426+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Michael Penix Jr.",
      "team": "ATL",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Baker Mayfield",
      "team": "TB",
      "source_team": "TB",
      "dropbacks": 584,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 431,
        "epa": 0.181
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 153,
        "epa": -0.533
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}