{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "car-at-no-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-15T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 16 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 15 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "CAR",
      "name": "Carolina Panthers"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "NO",
      "name": "New Orleans Saints"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Caesars Superdome",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 25.2,
    "home": 25.4
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "CAR": {
        "qb": "Bryce Young",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Bryce Young remains the projected starter. ",
        "material_availability": "Carolina plans to open Xavier Legette’s practice window. Jaycee Horn, Mike Jackson and Jonathon Brooks are nearing possible returns; none is treated as cleared here. Brady Christensen remains in his practice window.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.panthers.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:55.110623+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.panthers.com/news/panthers-release-depth-chart-ahead-of-week-10-of-the-2026-season",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:55.250145+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.panthers.com/news/monday-brew-getting-some-guys-back-soon-xavier-legette-jaycee-horn-mike-jackson-officials-replay",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:55.658989+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "NO": {
        "qb": "Tyler Shough",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Tyler Shough remains the projected starter after the overtime win over Cleveland. ",
        "material_availability": "New Orleans traded defensive tackle Davon Godchaux to Jacksonville. The first Week 10 practice report was not available in the captured official injury page. Final designations and inactives are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.neworleanssaints.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.089941+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.neworleanssaints.com/news/davon-godchaux-new-orleans-saints-roster-moves-transactions-2026-trade-deadline-11-9-2026",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.486003+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "A division game with two changing rosters",
    "intro": "Carolina is looking for returning players; New Orleans is adjusting after trading Godchaux. Neither development should be mistaken for a settled Sunday lineup.",
    "story": [
      "The Panthers followed a 27-19 loss at Green Bay with a 26-21 defeat against Denver. New Orleans comes off a 23-22 overtime win against Cleveland. Those close margins make possession quality and red-zone execution more useful questions than assuming either team will dominate the afternoon.",
      "Carolina’s possible returns offer a route to improvement, particularly at receiver and cornerback, but a practice window is only a step toward playing. New Orleans’ defensive rotation also needs an update after Godchaux’s departure. At the saved offers, neither market reaches a formal recommendation. The preview stays open to new availability evidence without assigning unsupported injury points."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Carolina’s actual activations, including Legette and its cornerbacks.",
      "New Orleans’ defensive-front roles after the trade.",
      "Which offence finishes close-range possessions with touchdowns."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Chuba Hubbard",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0036555",
        "team": "CAR",
        "targets": 31,
        "team_targets": 283,
        "receptions": 26,
        "receiving_yards": 167,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 134,
        "rushing_yards": 619,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 7
      },
      {
        "name": "Tetairoa McMillan",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0040124",
        "team": "CAR",
        "targets": 71,
        "team_targets": 283,
        "receptions": 46,
        "receiving_yards": 625,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Alvin Kamara",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0033906",
        "team": "NO",
        "targets": 31,
        "team_targets": 295,
        "receptions": 25,
        "receiving_yards": 150,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 47,
        "rushing_yards": 157,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Chris Olave",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0037239",
        "team": "NO",
        "targets": 83,
        "team_targets": 295,
        "receptions": 56,
        "receiving_yards": 734,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "CAR",
      "defense": "NO",
      "label": "deep-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "CAR",
      "defense": "NO",
      "label": "short-middle passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 0.2,
    "model_total": 50.7,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "CAR +2.5",
      "direction": "away",
      "line": 2.5,
      "book": "SportsBet",
      "price": 1.9,
      "edge": 2.3,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Over 48.5",
      "direction": "over",
      "line": 48.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.95,
      "edge": 2.2,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Bryce Young",
      "team": "CAR",
      "source_team": "CAR",
      "dropbacks": 506,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 353,
        "epa": 0.131
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 153,
        "epa": -0.444
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Tyler Shough",
      "team": "NO",
      "source_team": "NO",
      "dropbacks": 356,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 267,
        "epa": 0.197
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 89,
        "epa": -0.702
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}