{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "chi-at-sea-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-03T01:15:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Tue 3 Nov, 12:15pm AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Mon 2 Nov, 8:15pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "CHI",
      "name": "Chicago Bears"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "SEA",
      "name": "Seattle Seahawks"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Lumen Field",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 18.1,
    "home": 22.4
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:18.846812+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "CHI": {
        "qb": "Caleb Williams",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Caleb Williams remains the listed starter and is absent from Thursday's injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Kyle Monangai missed Thursday practice with thumb and toe injuries. T.J. Edwards and Jack Sanborn practised fully. Chicago has announced the acquisition of Jeffery Simmons from Tennessee.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.chicagobears.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:17.149165+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.chicagobears.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:18.846812+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.chicagobears.com/news/chicago-bears-acquire-all-pro-dl-jeffery-simmons-via-trade-roster-moves",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:17.237899+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "SEA": {
        "qb": "Sam Darnold",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Sam Darnold remains the listed starter and is absent from Thursday's injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Charles Cross, Rashid Shaheed and Uchenna Nwosu missed Thursday practice. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was rested. Leonard Williams was limited; Quenton Nelson practised fully.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/team/depth-chart/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:17.921778+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:17.846323+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/news/week-8-injury-report-bears-at-seahawks",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:18.346597+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Chicago's new defensive piece meets Seattle's passing focal point",
    "intro": "The Bears arrive with consecutive wins and a major defensive addition; Seattle comes off a strong result against Kansas City.",
    "story": [
      "Chicago has beaten Atlanta and New England in consecutive weeks. Seattle responded to losses against San Francisco and Denver by holding Kansas City to a low score. The model favours Seattle, but the current handicap leaves only a small difference on the side.",
      "Seattle's leading model opportunity is short-right passing. Smith-Njigba dominates its receiving workload, with Wilson providing the largest rushing volume. Chicago's acquisition of Simmons changes the defensive context; his integration and game readiness need checking because the saved team sample predates the move.",
      "Cross and Shaheed missed Seattle's first practice of the week, while Smith-Njigba was rested. Monangai was absent for Chicago, increasing the importance of Swift's established workload. Williams has Burden and Odunze as receiving options in a game where protection and sustained drives may determine whether the lower-scoring model outlook holds."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Simmons' availability and role following the trade to Chicago.",
      "Cross and Shaheed for Seattle, plus Monangai in the Bears' backfield.",
      "The final scoring conditions and total. The Under is an analysis lean rather than a formal selection."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "D'Andre Swift",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "His leading workload matters with Monangai missing the opening practice of the week.",
        "player_id": "00-0036275",
        "team": "CHI",
        "targets": 25,
        "team_targets": 224,
        "receptions": 22,
        "receiving_yards": 152,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 116,
        "rushing_yards": 476,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 7
      },
      {
        "name": "Luther Burden III",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "Chicago's leading receiver by targets and yards gives Williams a route to test Seattle downfield.",
        "player_id": "00-0040735",
        "team": "CHI",
        "targets": 47,
        "team_targets": 224,
        "receptions": 35,
        "receiving_yards": 491,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 8,
        "rushing_yards": 29,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 2
      },
      {
        "name": "Emanuel Wilson",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "Seattle's main rushing workload meets a Chicago front preparing to integrate Simmons.",
        "player_id": "00-0038797",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 9,
        "team_targets": 215,
        "receptions": 6,
        "receiving_yards": 65,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 111,
        "rushing_yards": 403,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Jaxon Smith-Njigba",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "The clear focal point of Seattle's passing game was rested Thursday, while Shaheed missed practice with a knee injury.",
        "player_id": "00-0038543",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 78,
        "team_targets": 215,
        "receptions": 58,
        "receiving_yards": 867,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 29,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 8
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "CHI",
      "label": "short-right passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "CHI",
      "label": "runs behind right guard"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 4.3,
    "model_total": 40.6,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "SEA -3",
      "direction": "home",
      "line": -3.0,
      "book": "TABtouch",
      "price": 1.87,
      "edge": 1.3,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Under 46.5",
      "direction": "under",
      "line": 46.5,
      "book": "TABtouch",
      "price": 1.92,
      "edge": 5.9,
      "tier": "LEAN",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/schedule/",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:42.784822+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Caleb Williams",
      "team": "CHI",
      "source_team": "CHI",
      "dropbacks": 594,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 416,
        "epa": 0.239
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 178,
        "epa": -0.321
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Sam Darnold",
      "team": "SEA",
      "source_team": "SEA",
      "dropbacks": 502,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 363,
        "epa": 0.372
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 139,
        "epa": -0.517
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}