{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "jax-at-bal-2026-w9",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-06T01:15:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Fri 6 Nov, 12:15pm AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Thu 5 Nov, 8:15pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "JAX",
      "name": "Jacksonville Jaguars"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "BAL",
      "name": "Baltimore Ravens"
    }
  },
  "venue": "M&T Bank Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-05T14:07:24.716391+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "JAX": {
        "qb": "Trevor Lawrence",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Trevor Lawrence remains the listed starter after Jacksonville’s 42-7 win.",
        "material_availability": "Bhayshul Tuten and Travon Walker are questionable. Jakobi Meyers was limited throughout the short practice week.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.jaguars.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:12.628725+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.jaguars.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:13.378206+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.jaguars.com/news/jaguars-media-give-final-analysis-before-week-9-against-ravens",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:07:24.716391+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "BAL": {
        "qb": "Joe Fagnano",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Joe Fagnano is confirmed for his first NFL start. Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley are out.",
        "material_availability": "Fagnano finished the practice week fully participating. Jaylinn Hawkins is out; Nate Wiggins and Adam Randall are questionable. The reported Brissett trade does not change Thursday’s starter.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:01.160644+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:01.481726+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/news/jacoby-brissett-ravens-trade-quarterback-cardinals-2026",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:01.375597+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/news/joe-fagnano-ravens-quarterbacks-practice-report-tyler-huntley",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:01.079689+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "A rookie start reshapes Thursday night",
    "intro": "Jacksonville arrives with momentum; Baltimore must rebuild its passing plan around Joe Fagnano on a short week.",
    "story": [
      "Jacksonville’s 42-7 demolition of Indianapolis and Baltimore’s 36-10 loss at Buffalo point in opposite directions. The Jaguars have allowed just 15.9 points per game across their seven completed matches. Baltimore has scored 10, 13 and 10 in its last three. That is a difficult platform for a rookie making his first start.",
      "The temptation is to turn those results into an automatic Jacksonville bet. The large handicap already prices in a substantial change, however, and Baltimore’s team-history numbers cannot tell us how Fagnano will perform. Tuten’s status affects Jacksonville’s running options; Walker’s availability matters to the pressure the visitors can generate. Both betting ratings are withheld."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Fagnano’s protection and ball security against a defence allowing 15.9 points per game.",
      "Tuten and Walker’s final availability for Jacksonville, plus Wiggins in Baltimore’s secondary.",
      "A double-digit handicap leaves Jacksonville needing sustained control, not simply a win."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Bhayshul Tuten",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0040719",
        "team": "JAX",
        "targets": 16,
        "team_targets": 195,
        "receptions": 15,
        "receiving_yards": 181,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 110,
        "rushing_yards": 492,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 6
      },
      {
        "name": "Parker Washington",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0038606",
        "team": "JAX",
        "targets": 48,
        "team_targets": 195,
        "receptions": 27,
        "receiving_yards": 432,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": 13,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Derrick Henry",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0032764",
        "team": "BAL",
        "targets": 14,
        "team_targets": 224,
        "receptions": 12,
        "receiving_yards": 75,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 158,
        "rushing_yards": 632,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 9
      },
      {
        "name": "Zay Flowers",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0039064",
        "team": "BAL",
        "targets": 58,
        "team_targets": 224,
        "receptions": 40,
        "receiving_yards": 608,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 34,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "JAX",
      "defense": "BAL",
      "label": "short-right passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "JAX",
      "defense": "BAL",
      "label": "deep-left passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.789052+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w08-c2f54775e6d5",
    "source_sha256": "c2f54775e6d54bedf003af2776987eddce7eb2eaf35f05a4039fc7268b44675e"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 14255,
    "ftn_games": 121,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-9-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:17.916727+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Trevor Lawrence",
      "team": "JAX",
      "source_team": "JAX",
      "dropbacks": 600,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 442,
        "epa": 0.261
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 158,
        "epa": -0.521
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Joe Fagnano",
      "team": "BAL",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}