{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "kc-at-atl-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-15T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 16 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 15 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "KC",
      "name": "Kansas City Chiefs"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "ATL",
      "name": "Atlanta Falcons"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Mercedes-Benz Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "KC": {
        "qb": "Patrick Mahomes",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Patrick Mahomes remains the projected starter after the 35-12 win over the Jets. ",
        "material_availability": "Kansas City acquired Josh Downs from Indianapolis. His immediate role needs confirmation. The first Week 10 practice report was not available in the captured official injury page. Final designations and inactives are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.chiefs.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:03.651399+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.colts.com/news/colts-release-unofficial-depth-chart-for-week-10",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:01.701453+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ATL": {
        "qb": "Michael Penix Jr.",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Michael Penix Jr. remains the projected starter. The model still has no supported Penix return adjustment. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "Atlanta traded safety Jessie Bates III to Jacksonville. The first Week 10 practice report was not available in the captured official injury page. Final designations and inactives are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.515331+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/falcons-agree-terms-jaguars-trade-jessie-bates-draft-picks",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.088293+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.atlantafalcons.com/news/cincinnati-offense-michael-penix-jr-falcons-vs-bengals",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.892891+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Kansas City tests Atlanta after Madrid",
    "intro": "The Chiefs answered their Denver defeat by beating the Jets 35-12. Atlanta returns from Madrid after conceding 34 to Cincinnati and then trading Jessie Bates.",
    "story": [
      "Atlanta’s immediate task is to reduce the self-inflicted setbacks that marred its 34-17 loss. The Falcons’ official review highlighted a season-high 12 penalties. Against Mahomes, stalled possessions and short fields can make a manageable contest difficult quickly, and the departure of Bates changes a defensive group already preparing on the return from an overseas game.",
      "Kansas City’s recovery is persuasive recent evidence, but it does not justify bypassing the quarterback restriction on Atlanta. Penix is the projected starter; the uncertainty is the model’s missing supported return adjustment, not a claim that the Falcons have no quarterback plan. We can discuss how the Chiefs might control the game without issuing a formal handicap or total."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Atlanta’s defensive roles after the Bates trade.",
      "Penix and the Falcons reducing penalties and negative plays.",
      "Fresh practice reports for Kansas City’s receiving group."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Kenneth Walker III",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0038134",
        "team": "KC",
        "targets": 36,
        "team_targets": 246,
        "receptions": 26,
        "receiving_yards": 172,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 159,
        "rushing_yards": 872,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 11
      },
      {
        "name": "Travis Kelce",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0030506",
        "team": "KC",
        "targets": 48,
        "team_targets": 246,
        "receptions": 33,
        "receiving_yards": 482,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 1,
        "rushing_yards": 1,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Bijan Robinson",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0038542",
        "team": "ATL",
        "targets": 40,
        "team_targets": 242,
        "receptions": 31,
        "receiving_yards": 236,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 169,
        "rushing_yards": 880,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 6
      },
      {
        "name": "Drake London",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0037238",
        "team": "ATL",
        "targets": 67,
        "team_targets": 242,
        "receptions": 44,
        "receiving_yards": 692,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 2,
        "rushing_yards": 4,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "ATL",
      "defense": "KC",
      "label": "deep-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "KC",
      "defense": "ATL",
      "label": "short-right passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Patrick Mahomes",
      "team": "KC",
      "source_team": "KC",
      "dropbacks": 537,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 373,
        "epa": 0.252
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 164,
        "epa": -0.157
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Michael Penix Jr.",
      "team": "ATL",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}