{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "la-at-ari-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-15T21:05:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 16 Nov, 8:05am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 15 Nov, 4:05pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "LA",
      "name": "Los Angeles Rams"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "ARI",
      "name": "Arizona Cardinals"
    }
  },
  "venue": "State Farm Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "LA": {
        "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Matthew Stafford remains the projected starter. ",
        "material_availability": "Sean McVay expects Puka Nacua to miss substantial time with knee and toe injuries and says injured reserve is likely. Steve Avila also faces time out. Trent McDuffie is progressing, with a return still conditional.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:05.660878+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/news/rams-injury-updates-puka-nacua-likely-going-on-injured-reserve-after-sustaining-mcl-pcl-sprain-and-turf-toe-against-commanders-latest-on-steve-avila-and-trent-mcduffie",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:05.544450+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "ARI": {
        "qb": "Carson Beck",
        "starter_status": "confirmed",
        "note": "Arizona has named Carson Beck for his first NFL start after Gardner Minshew went on injured reserve. The model has no supported Beck adjustment. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "Minshew and Michael Wilson are on injured reserve. Josh Johnson and Joey Aguilar have joined the quarterback room.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.867646+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/news/cardinals-sign-quarterback-reinforcements-including-josh-johnson-joey-aguilar",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.608244+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.azcardinals.com/news/cardinals-place-gardner-minshew-michael-wilson-on-ir",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:51.426846+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "A first start meets a reshuffled Rams attack",
    "intro": "Carson Beck’s first NFL start comes against a Rams team chasing a fourth straight win, but Los Angeles has lost Puka Nacua from its immediate plans.",
    "story": [
      "Arizona scored three in Seattle before placing Minshew and Michael Wilson on injured reserve. Beck now inherits a receiving group with one fewer established option, while newly signed quarterbacks fill out the room. The Rams’ own 20-13 win in Washington came at a cost: Nacua faces substantial time out and Avila also has a hamstring problem.",
      "These are changes to both attacks, not small footnotes to the old numbers. McDuffie’s possible return could further alter the matchup, but remains conditional. The model has no supported Beck adjustment, so both betting markets are unrated. We do not promote the Rams’ winning sequence into a formal bet without a current pricing basis."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Beck’s first-team preparation and Arizona’s receiving rotation.",
      "The Rams’ plan without Nacua, with Adams also outside the active-role cards.",
      "McDuffie’s progress and the final offensive-line reports."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Kyren Williams",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0037840",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 46,
        "team_targets": 337,
        "receptions": 36,
        "receiving_yards": 258,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 127,
        "rushing_yards": 593,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 7
      },
      {
        "name": "Tyler Higbee",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0033110",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 39,
        "team_targets": 337,
        "receptions": 28,
        "receiving_yards": 287,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "Tyler Allgeier",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0037263",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 25,
        "team_targets": 342,
        "receptions": 23,
        "receiving_yards": 128,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 89,
        "rushing_yards": 369,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Trey McBride",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0037744",
        "team": "ARI",
        "targets": 94,
        "team_targets": 342,
        "receptions": 73,
        "receiving_yards": 598,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 5
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "LA",
      "defense": "ARI",
      "label": "short-middle passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "ARI",
      "defense": "LA",
      "label": "runs off left end"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
      "team": "LA",
      "source_team": "LA",
      "dropbacks": 617,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 468,
        "epa": 0.408
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 149,
        "epa": -0.334
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Carson Beck",
      "team": "ARI",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}