{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "la-at-was-2026-w9",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-08T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 9 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 8 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "LA",
      "name": "Los Angeles Rams"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "WAS",
      "name": "Washington Commanders"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Northwest Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 22.9,
    "home": 17.2
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-05T14:07:24.716391+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "LA": {
        "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Matthew Stafford remains the listed starter.",
        "material_availability": "Jaylen Watson needs season-ending shoulder surgery. Myles Garrett and Terrance Ferguson are returning to practice; that does not yet confirm game availability.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:13.456152+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/news/from-the-podium-rams-head-coach-sean-mcvay-quarterback-matthew-stafford-coordinators-wide-receiver-puka-nacua-defensive-end-aaron-donald-preview-matchup-with-commanders",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:13.882325+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/news/rams-injury-updates-jaylen-watson-shoulder-surgery-out-for-rest-of-2026-season-myles-garrett-terrance-ferguson-return-to-practice-week-9",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:14.060610+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/news/from-the-podium-head-coach-sean-mcvay-quarterback-matthew-stafford-detail-rams-win-over-chargers-at-sofi-stadium-press-conference-2026",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:14.138808+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "WAS": {
        "qb": "Jayden Daniels",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Jayden Daniels participated fully Wednesday with a left-elbow listing.",
        "material_availability": "Treylon Burks did not practise with a foot injury. Sam Cosmi and John Bates were limited; Stefon Diggs was rested.",
        "report_date": "4 Nov 2026",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.commanders.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:23.981773+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.commanders.com/news/commanders-vs-rams-week-9-injury-report",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:23.913210+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "The Rams’ defence faces a different test",
    "intro": "Los Angeles has won two straight. Washington’s latest win makes this more interesting than a simple continuation of the Rams’ run.",
    "story": [
      "The Rams beat the Chargers 24-9 after putting 35 on Las Vegas. Washington’s 27-10 win over Philadelphia gives Daniels a better platform, though the opponent matters when weighing that improvement. The Rams’ 5.6-point model margin sits close to the quoted handicap, leaving no spread recommendation.",
      "The low total forecast deserves resistance as well as attention. Washington scored 27 last week, and Los Angeles has lost Jaylen Watson for the season. Garrett returning to practice could help the pass rush, but practice participation is not game clearance. Under 48.5 is an analysis lean only, with no formal selection."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "How the Rams replace Watson in coverage.",
      "Garrett’s progress and the pressure Los Angeles can create.",
      "Washington’s receiving options with Burks missing practice."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Kyren Williams",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0037840",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 42,
        "team_targets": 296,
        "receptions": 33,
        "receiving_yards": 242,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 112,
        "rushing_yards": 548,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 7
      },
      {
        "name": "Puka Nacua",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0039075",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 74,
        "team_targets": 296,
        "receptions": 56,
        "receiving_yards": 565,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 5,
        "rushing_yards": 21,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Jacory Croskey-Merritt",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0040242",
        "team": "WAS",
        "targets": 7,
        "team_targets": 214,
        "receptions": 5,
        "receiving_yards": 40,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 67,
        "rushing_yards": 239,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 2
      },
      {
        "name": "Stefon Diggs",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 8. See the team news above for current availability.",
        "player_id": "00-0031588",
        "team": "WAS",
        "targets": 44,
        "team_targets": 214,
        "receptions": 27,
        "receiving_yards": 252,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 8,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 8. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 5
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "LA",
      "defense": "WAS",
      "label": "runs behind left guard"
    },
    {
      "offense": "LA",
      "defense": "WAS",
      "label": "runs off left tackle"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": -5.6,
    "model_total": 40.1,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "LA -4.5",
      "direction": "away",
      "line": -4.5,
      "book": "SportsBet",
      "price": 1.9,
      "edge": 1.1,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Under 48.5",
      "direction": "under",
      "line": 48.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.85,
      "edge": 8.4,
      "tier": "LEAN",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-05T14:05:59.789052+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w08-c2f54775e6d5",
    "source_sha256": "c2f54775e6d54bedf003af2776987eddce7eb2eaf35f05a4039fc7268b44675e"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 14255,
    "ftn_games": 121,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-9-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-05T14:06:17.916727+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
      "team": "LA",
      "source_team": "LA",
      "dropbacks": 617,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 468,
        "epa": 0.408
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 149,
        "epa": -0.334
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Jayden Daniels",
      "team": "WAS",
      "source_team": "WAS",
      "dropbacks": 205,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 136,
        "epa": 0.14
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 69,
        "epa": -0.347
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}