{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "lac-at-bal-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-17T01:15:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Tue 17 Nov, 12:15pm AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Mon 16 Nov, 8:15pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "LAC",
      "name": "Los Angeles Chargers"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "BAL",
      "name": "Baltimore Ravens"
    }
  },
  "venue": "M&T Bank Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "LAC": {
        "qb": "Justin Herbert",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Justin Herbert remains the projected starter for the trip to Baltimore. ",
        "material_availability": "The first Week 10 practice report was not available in the captured official injury page. Final designations and inactives are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.chargers.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:03.853701+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.chargers.com/news/week-10-mike-mcdaniel-jim-harbaugh",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:04.185855+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "BAL": {
        "qb": "Jacoby Brissett",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Jesse Minter expects Jacoby Brissett to start Monday. Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley are on injured reserve; a supported Brissett adjustment is unavailable. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "Minter is optimistic about Kyle Hamilton after his hip issue. That is an encouraging update, not final clearance.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:53.616989+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/news/kyle-hamilton-injury-update-jacoby-brissett-starting-against-chargers-monday-night-minter-lamar-jackson-injury-conversations-private",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:53.554380+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.baltimoreravens.com/news/lamar-jackson-tyler-huntley-injured-reserve-austin-reed-adisa-isaac-jake-moody",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:21:53.704497+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Baltimore expects another quarterback change",
    "intro": "The Chargers are still seeking their first win at 0-8. Baltimore expects Brissett to start after another heavy defeat.",
    "story": [
      "Baltimore lost 33-10 to Jacksonville with Joe Fagnano starting, after conceding 36 at Buffalo. Minter now expects Brissett to take over while Jackson and Huntley remain on injured reserve. The Chargers scored 22 against Houston but conceded 44, so their route to a first win also depends on a substantial defensive improvement.",
      "Hamilton’s encouraging hip update could help Baltimore if it becomes clearance, but it is not clearance yet. The quarterback plan is clearer than the model: no supported Brissett adjustment exists. The very low earlier team-history total is therefore withheld along with the handicap, rather than offered as a confident forecast of this new matchup."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Brissett’s preparation and confirmation of Monday’s starter.",
      "Hamilton’s practice progress and Baltimore’s final defensive availability.",
      "The Chargers turning offensive possessions into points while avoiding another defensive collapse."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Omarion Hampton",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0040666",
        "team": "LAC",
        "targets": 13,
        "team_targets": 234,
        "receptions": 11,
        "receiving_yards": 63,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 102,
        "rushing_yards": 369,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Quentin Johnston",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0038544",
        "team": "LAC",
        "targets": 30,
        "team_targets": 234,
        "receptions": 13,
        "receiving_yards": 260,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 8,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "Derrick Henry",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0032764",
        "team": "BAL",
        "targets": 14,
        "team_targets": 240,
        "receptions": 12,
        "receiving_yards": 75,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 175,
        "rushing_yards": 689,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 9
      },
      {
        "name": "Zay Flowers",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0039064",
        "team": "BAL",
        "targets": 64,
        "team_targets": 240,
        "receptions": 43,
        "receiving_yards": 614,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 6,
        "rushing_yards": 51,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "LAC",
      "defense": "BAL",
      "label": "deep-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "BAL",
      "defense": "LAC",
      "label": "deep-right passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Justin Herbert",
      "team": "LAC",
      "source_team": "LAC",
      "dropbacks": 566,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 359,
        "epa": 0.318
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 207,
        "epa": -0.531
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Jacoby Brissett",
      "team": "BAL",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}