{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "lac-at-la-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-01T21:05:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 2 Nov, 8:05am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 1 Nov, 4:05pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "LAC",
      "name": "Los Angeles Chargers"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "LA",
      "name": "Los Angeles Rams"
    }
  },
  "venue": "SoFi Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 8.0,
    "home": 20.4
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:23.976769+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "LAC": {
        "qb": "Justin Herbert",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Justin Herbert remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Ladd McConkey practised fully both days with a concussion listed. Tre Harris remained limited. Derwin James, Kayode Awosika and Deane Leonard remained out of practice Thursday.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.chargers.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:23.596635+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.chargers.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:23.976769+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.chargers.com/news/chargers-vs-rams-injury-report-mcconkey-full-james-awosika-don-t-practice-wednesday",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:23.694937+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "LA": {
        "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Matthew Stafford remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Coleman Shelton and Colby Parkinson missed both practices. Trent McDuffie remained limited. Myles Garrett and Terrance Ferguson remain on injured reserve; Davante Adams is recovering from hamstring surgery.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:22.417546+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:22.934587+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.therams.com/news/rams-injury-updates-will-not-open-21-day-practice-windows-myles-garrett-terrance-ferguson-week-8-2026-chargers-trent-mcduffie-nate-landman-davante-adams",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:23.000065+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "The Rams have the advantage in the Los Angeles matchup",
    "intro": "The model favours the Rams against a Chargers offence still searching for a sustained scoring performance.",
    "story": [
      "The Chargers return from their bye at 0-6, averaging 15.0 points per game. That supports the broader Rams advantage, but the model's 8.0-point Chargers forecast and 28.4 total are much more demanding calls. The Rams average 24.3 points and scored 35 in Las Vegas last week: meaningful contrary evidence to such a low combined score.",
      "The Rams' best model opportunities are short-left passing and runs off left end. Williams offers Stafford both rushing and receiving support, while Nacua carries the largest workload among the available receivers. Adams' absence and the practice limitations around Shelton and Parkinson remain relevant.",
      "McConkey's full practice is encouraging for Herbert, although concussion clearance and Harris' limited work still need attention. James and Awosika remain out of practice for the Chargers. Both clubs share SoFi Stadium. The Rams' stronger outlook is easier to support than a combined score so far below both the quoted 45.5 and their latest scoring performance."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "The Chargers' receiving availability, especially McConkey's clearance and Harris' hamstring.",
      "Shelton and Parkinson for the Rams, and James and Awosika for the Chargers.",
      "Whether the Chargers can improve after the bye. Even a modest recovery would challenge their very low forecast score."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Omarion Hampton",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "The Chargers need sustained drives, and Hampton carries their largest rushing workload.",
        "player_id": "00-0040666",
        "team": "LAC",
        "targets": 10,
        "team_targets": 174,
        "receptions": 9,
        "receiving_yards": 56,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 80,
        "rushing_yards": 289,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Ladd McConkey",
        "label": "Full practice",
        "note": "Full practice is encouraging as Herbert looks for more consistent receiving support; concussion clearance still matters.",
        "player_id": "00-0039915",
        "team": "LAC",
        "targets": 18,
        "team_targets": 174,
        "receptions": 13,
        "receiving_yards": 200,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "Kyren Williams",
        "label": "Two-way workload",
        "note": "His rushing and receiving roles give Stafford a productive alternative to forcing downfield throws.",
        "player_id": "00-0037840",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 41,
        "team_targets": 271,
        "receptions": 32,
        "receiving_yards": 239,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 96,
        "rushing_yards": 492,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 6
      },
      {
        "name": "Puka Nacua",
        "label": "Target volume",
        "note": "He leads the available Rams receiving group with Adams recovering from surgery.",
        "player_id": "00-0039075",
        "team": "LA",
        "targets": 62,
        "team_targets": 271,
        "receptions": 45,
        "receiving_yards": 485,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 5,
        "rushing_yards": 21,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 3
      }
    ],
    "editorial_decision": {
      "status": "side_supported_total_not_endorsed",
      "text": "Editorial view: the evidence supports the Rams' advantage, with Rams -6.5 retained as the model's PLAY. We do not endorse the extreme low-scoring projection: the Chargers' season average and the Rams' recent scoring provide credible resistance. Under 45.5 remains a model LEAN, not a formal selection."
    }
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "LA",
      "defense": "LAC",
      "label": "short-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "LA",
      "defense": "LAC",
      "label": "runs off left end"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 12.5,
    "model_total": 28.4,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "LA -6.5",
      "direction": "home",
      "line": -6.5,
      "book": "PointsBet (AU)",
      "price": 1.9,
      "edge": 6.0,
      "tier": "PLAY",
      "is_bet": true
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Under 45.5",
      "direction": "under",
      "line": 45.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.88,
      "edge": 17.1,
      "tier": "LEAN",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-8-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:43.964426+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Justin Herbert",
      "team": "LAC",
      "source_team": "LAC",
      "dropbacks": 566,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 359,
        "epa": 0.318
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 207,
        "epa": -0.531
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Matthew Stafford",
      "team": "LA",
      "source_team": "LA",
      "dropbacks": 617,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 468,
        "epa": 0.408
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 149,
        "epa": -0.334
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}