{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "mia-at-ind-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-15T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 16 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 15 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "MIA",
      "name": "Miami Dolphins"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "IND",
      "name": "Indianapolis Colts"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Lucas Oil Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "MIA": {
        "qb": "Kyle McCord",
        "starter_status": "reported_expected",
        "note": "Projected: Kyle McCord, following Adam Schefter’s report. Malik Willis is on injured reserve; the model has no supported McCord adjustment. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "Defensive lineman Zach Sieler is also on injured reserve. The quarterback change and loss of Sieler materially change the team context.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.miamidolphins.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:07.527665+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.miamidolphins.com/news/dolphins-make-roster-moves-x8063",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:07.440328+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/news/619077/kyle-mccord-to-start-qb-dolphins.php",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:07.828404+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "IND": {
        "qb": "Daniel Jones",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Daniel Jones remains the projected starter. ",
        "material_availability": "Indianapolis traded Keenan Allen to San Francisco and Josh Downs to Kansas City. Alec Pierce is on injured reserve; Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has joined the active roster. The first Week 10 practice report was not available in the captured official injury page. Final designations and inactives are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.colts.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:01.551342+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.colts.com/news/colts-release-unofficial-depth-chart-for-week-10",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:01.701453+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.colts.com/news/colts-sign-wr-nick-westbrook-ikhine-to-53-man-roster-from-practice-squad-sign-ls-jacob-bobenmoyer-to-practice-squad",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:01.621118+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Miami’s reset changes the Indianapolis matchup",
    "intro": "Miami has lost Willis and Sieler to injured reserve. Indianapolis faces a different Dolphins team from the one represented by most of the season’s numbers.",
    "story": [
      "Schefter reports McCord will take over at quarterback. That gives Miami a projected plan, but little basis for treating the earlier team forecast as a McCord-specific estimate. Indianapolis has also changed its passing game by trading Allen and Downs, with Pierce already on injured reserve. The Colts must establish a new receiving rotation rather than assume last week’s personnel remain available.",
      "The Colts improved from seven points in Jacksonville to 23 against Dallas, although both games ended in defeats. Miami scored nine against Detroit after 19 against New England. Those results frame the challenge without quantifying an untested replacement. Both ratings are withheld; the apparent pre-review Over signal is not a current selection."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "McCord’s confirmed role and first-team preparation.",
      "How Miami replaces Sieler’s work on the defensive front.",
      "Indianapolis sustaining its offensive improvement over a full game."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Ollie Gordon II",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0040198",
        "team": "MIA",
        "targets": 10,
        "team_targets": 200,
        "receptions": 7,
        "receiving_yards": 23,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 107,
        "rushing_yards": 463,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Malik Washington",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0039880",
        "team": "MIA",
        "targets": 48,
        "team_targets": 200,
        "receptions": 33,
        "receiving_yards": 350,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 9,
        "rushing_yards": 38,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 1
      },
      {
        "name": "Jonathan Taylor",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0036223",
        "team": "IND",
        "targets": 36,
        "team_targets": 287,
        "receptions": 26,
        "receiving_yards": 220,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 161,
        "rushing_yards": 656,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 8
      },
      {
        "name": "Tyler Warren",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0040128",
        "team": "IND",
        "targets": 53,
        "team_targets": 287,
        "receptions": 38,
        "receiving_yards": 275,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 6,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "MIA",
      "defense": "IND",
      "label": "short-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "MIA",
      "defense": "IND",
      "label": "inside runs"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Kyle McCord",
      "team": "MIA",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Daniel Jones",
      "team": "IND",
      "source_team": "IND",
      "dropbacks": 409,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 295,
        "epa": 0.29
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 114,
        "epa": -0.252
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}