{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "min-at-det-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-01T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 2 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 1 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "MIN",
      "name": "Minnesota Vikings"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "DET",
      "name": "Detroit Lions"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Ford Field",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 20.3,
    "home": 23.2
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.942632+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "MIN": {
        "qb": "Kyler Murray",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Kyler Murray remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Aaron Jones returned to limited work Thursday. Brian O'Neill and Joe Huber practised fully; Gavin Bartholomew did not practise. Donovan Jackson is on injured reserve.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.vikings.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.428971+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.vikings.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.942632+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.vikings.com/news/lions-injury-report-week-8-2026-nfl-season",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.841665+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.vikings.com/news/donovan-jackson-guard-injured-reserve-roster-moves",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.747851+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "DET": {
        "qb": "Jared Goff",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Jared Goff remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown returned to full practice Thursday. Kerby Joseph and Ennis Rakestraw Jr. remained limited.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.detroitlions.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:25.491243+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.detroitlions.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:26.163158+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Minnesota's unbeaten start meets Detroit's home strength",
    "intro": "A tight model forecast puts the emphasis on execution between two strong division rivals.",
    "story": [
      "Minnesota has won all its completed games, with a succession of low-scoring wins after the opener. Detroit has won every home game in the saved sample. The records point to a compelling contest, but the model sees a much narrower gap than either run of results alone might suggest.",
      "Both teams have a positive deep-passing area in the model: Minnesota to the right and Detroit to the left. Those areas account for relatively small shares of their offensive samples. The larger question is which side can keep moving the ball without depending on those occasional gains.",
      "Gibbs and St. Brown returning to full practice restores important options for Goff. Minnesota is watching Jones' knee, while O'Neill's return to full work helps the protection picture. Jefferson and Hockenson give Murray established outlets in a matchup where one stalled scoring drive could be costly."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Jones' final status and Minnesota's ability to keep the rushing workload productive.",
      "Whether Detroit can sustain its scoring against Minnesota's recent defensive results.",
      "Explosive completions. The model highlights deep areas for both sides, but their samples are small."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Justin Jefferson",
        "label": "Receiving option",
        "note": "Minnesota's leading receiver by yardage offers a route to the occasional explosive gain.",
        "player_id": "00-0036322",
        "team": "MIN",
        "targets": 31,
        "team_targets": 153,
        "receptions": 23,
        "receiving_yards": 302,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 1,
        "rushing_yards": -11,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 3
      },
      {
        "name": "Aaron Jones",
        "label": "Limited practice",
        "note": "He has carried the main rushing workload, making his knee injury a meaningful final team-news check.",
        "player_id": "00-0033293",
        "team": "MIN",
        "targets": 19,
        "team_targets": 153,
        "receptions": 13,
        "receiving_yards": 72,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 105,
        "rushing_yards": 436,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 2
      },
      {
        "name": "Jahmyr Gibbs",
        "label": "Full practice",
        "note": "His rushing workload and receiving involvement give Detroit options against a defence that has kept scores low.",
        "player_id": "00-0039139",
        "team": "DET",
        "targets": 40,
        "team_targets": 219,
        "receptions": 32,
        "receiving_yards": 261,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 134,
        "rushing_yards": 620,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 9
      },
      {
        "name": "Amon-Ra St. Brown",
        "label": "Full practice",
        "note": "Detroit's leading target recipient returned to full work Thursday after an ankle-related absence.",
        "player_id": "00-0036963",
        "team": "DET",
        "targets": 68,
        "team_targets": 219,
        "receptions": 46,
        "receiving_yards": 525,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 1,
        "rushing_yards": -1,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 5
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "MIN",
      "defense": "DET",
      "label": "deep-right passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "DET",
      "defense": "MIN",
      "label": "deep-left passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 2.8,
    "model_total": 43.5,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "MIN +3.5",
      "direction": "away",
      "line": 3.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.88,
      "edge": 0.7,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Under 46.5",
      "direction": "under",
      "line": 46.5,
      "book": "SportsBet",
      "price": 1.83,
      "edge": 3.0,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-8-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:43.964426+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Kyler Murray",
      "team": "MIN",
      "source_team": "ARI",
      "dropbacks": 177,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 132,
        "epa": 0.263
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 45,
        "epa": -0.644
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Jared Goff",
      "team": "DET",
      "source_team": "DET",
      "dropbacks": 614,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 429,
        "epa": 0.453
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 185,
        "epa": -0.472
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}