{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "sea-at-lv-2026-w10",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-15T21:05:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 16 Nov, 8:05am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 15 Nov, 4:05pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "SEA",
      "name": "Seattle Seahawks"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "LV",
      "name": "Las Vegas Raiders"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Allegiant Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": null,
    "home": null
  },
  "unrated": true,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:16.813068+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "SEA": {
        "qb": "Drew Lock",
        "starter_status": "projected",
        "note": "Mike Macdonald expects Drew Lock to play despite an oblique injury. Sam Darnold will miss Week 10; the model has no supported Lock adjustment. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "Quenton Nelson will also miss the game. Charles Cross, Leonard Williams and Rashid Shaheed still need progress; no return is assumed.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/team/depth-chart/",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:13.782540+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/news/demarcus-lawrence-s-great-game-injury-notes-more-from-mike-macdonald-s-monday-press-conference",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:14.104755+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.seahawks.com/news/updates-on-sam-darnold-quenton-nelson-other-seahawks-injuries",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:14.402931+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "LV": {
        "qb": "Fernando Mendoza",
        "starter_status": "confirmed",
        "note": "Las Vegas has named Fernando Mendoza its starter after trading Kirk Cousins. The existing model has no supported Mendoza adjustment. Both market ratings are withheld.",
        "material_availability": "The Cousins trade was announced subject to a physical. Patrick Johnson has been placed on injured reserve. Final Week 10 designations are pending.",
        "report_date": "First Week 10 practice report pending; dated team updates shown above",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.raiders.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:05.938104+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.raiders.com/news/fernando-mendoza-named-raiders-starting-quarterback",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:05.737668+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.raiders.com/news/raiders-acquire-2027-third-round-pick-nfl-2026",
            "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:06.134826+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Mendoza’s debut faces Seattle’s injury list",
    "intro": "Las Vegas has turned to Fernando Mendoza after trading Cousins. Seattle expects to use Drew Lock again while Darnold remains out.",
    "story": [
      "Seattle won 17-3 against Arizona despite multiple absences, but Lock added an oblique issue to his recent elbow problem. Macdonald expects him to play with managed practice work. The Raiders are coming off a 38-17 loss at San Francisco and now begin the transition to the first overall pick as their starter.",
      "A rookie debut creates a meaningful football story, not a reliable numerical shortcut. Seattle also remains without Nelson, while Cross, Williams and Shaheed need progress before a return can be assumed. There is no supported Mendoza or Lock adjustment in the existing model. Both ratings are withheld even though both clubs have described their intended quarterback plans."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Lock’s throwing capacity and the final Seattle inactive list.",
      "Mendoza’s operation against Seattle’s pressure and coverage changes.",
      "The availability of Cross, Williams and Shaheed."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Emanuel Wilson",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0038797",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 9,
        "team_targets": 277,
        "receptions": 6,
        "receiving_yards": 65,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 111,
        "rushing_yards": 403,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Jaxon Smith-Njigba",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0038543",
        "team": "SEA",
        "targets": 99,
        "team_targets": 277,
        "receptions": 71,
        "receiving_yards": 1036,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 3,
        "rushing_yards": 29,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 9
      },
      {
        "name": "Ashton Jeanty",
        "label": "Rushing role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0040122",
        "team": "LV",
        "targets": 55,
        "team_targets": 311,
        "receptions": 42,
        "receiving_yards": 371,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 114,
        "rushing_yards": 362,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Brock Bowers",
        "label": "Receiving role",
        "note": "Season usage through Week 9, not a forecast of this game’s workload. Projected role; final availability remains subject to team reports.",
        "player_id": "00-0039338",
        "team": "LV",
        "targets": 69,
        "team_targets": 311,
        "receptions": 48,
        "receiving_yards": 658,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 1,
        "rushing_yards": 2,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 9,
        "definition": "2026 REG through Week 9. Valid non-conversion targets; rushing excludes kneels.",
        "tds": 6
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "LV",
      "label": "short-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "SEA",
      "defense": "LV",
      "label": "short-right passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": null,
    "model_total": null,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "No published rating",
      "direction": null,
      "line": null,
      "book": null,
      "price": null,
      "edge": null,
      "tier": "UNRATED",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-11-11T14:21:05.660808+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w09-da49d4cd1481",
    "source_sha256": "da49d4cd14811cb623529f9361eb7306dff4c5cfee466776534212e21aeb204b"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 15984,
    "ftn_games": 136,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/schedules",
      "captured_at": "2026-11-11T14:22:10.326522+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Drew Lock",
      "team": "SEA",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Fernando Mendoza",
      "team": "LV",
      "source_team": null,
      "dropbacks": 0,
      "sufficient": false,
      "withheld": true,
      "clean": null,
      "pressure": null
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}