{
  "schema": "savvyplays-public-preview/1",
  "slug": "ten-at-cin-2026-w8",
  "header": {
    "kickoff_utc": "2026-11-01T18:00:00+00:00",
    "kickoff_aest": "Mon 2 Nov, 5:00am AEDT",
    "kickoff_et": "Sun 1 Nov, 1:00pm ET",
    "away": {
      "abbr": "TEN",
      "name": "Tennessee Titans"
    },
    "home": {
      "abbr": "CIN",
      "name": "Cincinnati Bengals"
    }
  },
  "venue": "Paycor Stadium",
  "forecast": {
    "away": 13.1,
    "home": 32.0
  },
  "unrated": false,
  "availability": {
    "checked_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:31.450976+00:00",
    "teams": {
      "TEN": {
        "qb": "Cam Ward",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Cam Ward remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Carnell Tate and Tyjae Spears missed both practices. Calvin Ridley remained limited; Tony Pollard was rested Thursday. Tennessee agreed to trade Jeffery Simmons to Chicago, pending a physical.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.tennesseetitans.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:31.064909+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.tennesseetitans.com/team/injury-report/",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:31.120908+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.tennesseetitans.com/news/titans-trade-dt-jeffery-simmons-to-the-chicago-bears-in-exchange-for-two-first-round-picks",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:31.450976+00:00"
          }
        ]
      },
      "CIN": {
        "qb": "Joe Burrow",
        "starter_status": "expected",
        "note": "Joe Burrow remains the listed starter and is absent from the current injury report.",
        "material_availability": "Ja'Marr Chase returned to full practice Thursday. Kyle Dugger and Joe Giles-Harris did not practise; Jordan Battle remained limited.",
        "report_date": "2026-10-29",
        "source_evidence": [
          {
            "url": "https://www.bengals.com/team/depth-chart",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:30.305654+00:00"
          },
          {
            "url": "https://www.bengals.com/news/bengals-titans-week-8-2026-injury-report",
            "captured_at": "2026-10-30T13:27:30.980601+00:00"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "enhanced": {
    "title": "Cincinnati can press a depleted Tennessee defence",
    "intro": "The Bengals' passing matchup stands out as Tennessee prepares for life after Jeffery Simmons.",
    "story": [
      "Cincinnati returns home after a decisive win in Baltimore. Tennessee arrives with one victory and a receiving group carrying several injuries. The gap in recent results is substantial, and the Titans now face the additional disruption of Simmons' move to Chicago.",
      "The strongest model matchup is Cincinnati's short-left passing, with another favourable area deep to the right. Higgins and Chase give Burrow established options at different depths. Chase's return to full practice Thursday is encouraging for that plan.",
      "Tennessee needs enough from Pollard and its available receivers to keep Ward out of repeated long-yardage situations. Tate and Spears missing practice, with Ridley limited, makes that task harder. The model favours Cincinnati clearly, while the historical defensive figures precede Simmons' move."
    ],
    "changes": [
      "Tennessee's front after the Simmons trade and John Franklin-Myers' return to limited work.",
      "The availability of Tate, Ridley and Spears around Ward.",
      "Whether Cincinnati can convert its passing advantage into a margin large enough to cover the handicap."
    ],
    "players": [
      {
        "name": "Tony Pollard",
        "label": "Rushing volume",
        "note": "A sustained rushing contribution would help Tennessee avoid chasing the game through a depleted receiving group.",
        "player_id": "00-0035261",
        "team": "TEN",
        "targets": 16,
        "team_targets": 195,
        "receptions": 11,
        "receiving_yards": 50,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 112,
        "rushing_yards": 478,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 4
      },
      {
        "name": "Wan'Dale Robinson",
        "label": "Receiving option",
        "note": "His existing target volume becomes more relevant while Tate and Ridley work through injuries.",
        "player_id": "00-0038117",
        "team": "TEN",
        "targets": 43,
        "team_targets": 195,
        "receptions": 29,
        "receiving_yards": 205,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 1,
        "rushing_yards": 1,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 2
      },
      {
        "name": "Tee Higgins",
        "label": "Receiving volume",
        "note": "He leads Cincinnati in targets and receiving yards in the saved Week 7 sample.",
        "player_id": "00-0036410",
        "team": "CIN",
        "targets": 50,
        "team_targets": 214,
        "receptions": 33,
        "receiving_yards": 571,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 2
      },
      {
        "name": "Ja'Marr Chase",
        "label": "Full practice",
        "note": "Thursday's return to full work supports Cincinnati's passing options alongside Higgins.",
        "player_id": "00-0036900",
        "team": "CIN",
        "targets": 45,
        "team_targets": 214,
        "receptions": 32,
        "receiving_yards": 351,
        "rush_attempts_excluding_kneels": 0,
        "rushing_yards": 0,
        "appearances": null,
        "td_game_rate": null,
        "through_week": 7,
        "definition": "REG through Week 7; valid non-conversion, non-no-play targets; rushing excludes kneels. No appearance denominator.",
        "tds": 5
      }
    ]
  },
  "matchup_areas": [
    {
      "offense": "CIN",
      "defense": "TEN",
      "label": "short-left passing"
    },
    {
      "offense": "CIN",
      "defense": "TEN",
      "label": "deep-right passing"
    }
  ],
  "the_call": {
    "model_margin": 18.9,
    "model_total": 45.1,
    "spread": {
      "pick": "CIN -10.5",
      "direction": "home",
      "line": -10.5,
      "book": "Dabble AU",
      "price": 1.92,
      "edge": 8.4,
      "tier": "PLAY",
      "is_bet": true
    },
    "total": {
      "pick": "Under 46.5",
      "direction": "under",
      "line": 46.5,
      "book": "SportsBet",
      "price": 1.96,
      "edge": 1.4,
      "tier": "PASS",
      "is_bet": false
    }
  },
  "market": {
    "as_of": "2026-10-30T13:27:12.728399+00:00"
  },
  "statistical_edition": {
    "id": "2026-reg-w07-5fa3f8e09c72",
    "source_sha256": "5fa3f8e09c724b8476704f27acaa09ff89fc354ac760f7e860c7acf62ae8a8ed"
  },
  "samples": {
    "model_eligible_plays": 12619,
    "ftn_games": 106,
    "participation_current_available": false
  },
  "schedule_evidence": [
    {
      "url": "https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-week-8-injury-report-2026-season",
      "captured_at": "2026-10-30T10:41:43.964426+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "historical_pressure": {
    "source": {
      "season": 2025,
      "through_week": 18
    },
    "away": {
      "qb": "Cam Ward",
      "team": "TEN",
      "source_team": "TEN",
      "dropbacks": 592,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 407,
        "epa": 0.083
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 185,
        "epa": -0.795
      }
    },
    "home": {
      "qb": "Joe Burrow",
      "team": "CIN",
      "source_team": "CIN",
      "dropbacks": 278,
      "sufficient": true,
      "withheld": false,
      "clean": {
        "dropbacks": 195,
        "epa": 0.268
      },
      "pressure": {
        "dropbacks": 83,
        "epa": -0.297
      }
    }
  },
  "disclaimer": "We take care to check our data and analysis, but errors can occur and team news or prices may change. Statistics reflect the periods shown; forecasts are estimates, not guarantees."
}