Jacksonville’s form meets a Tennessee reset
Lawrence’s attack has built a substantial recent scoring case, while the Jaguars have also added Bates and Godchaux to their defence. Their availability and assignments still need confirmation. Tennessee, meanwhile, has traded Hooker and changed its linebacker group, making the first post-bye practice report particularly useful.
The model strongly favours Jacksonville but its away handicap remains an analysis lean. Its lower total deserves caution: Tennessee’s last game reached 79 with overtime, while Jacksonville has recently produced plenty of points on its own. One overtime result does not set the next total, but neither does the model erase that opposing evidence. No formal selection is made.
Matchup areas drawn from the separate efficiency sample through Week 9.