Miami’s reset changes the Indianapolis matchup

Miami has lost Willis and Sieler to injured reserve. Indianapolis faces a different Dolphins team from the one represented by most of the season’s numbers.

First published 12 November 2026 (Sydney). Based on reports checked at 12 Nov 2026, 01:22 AM AEDT.

01 / THE SNAPSHOT

The matchup at a glance

2026 season through completed Week 9 · UNRATED

02 / THE GAME STORY

Miami’s reset changes the Indianapolis matchup

Schefter reports McCord will take over at quarterback. That gives Miami a projected plan, but little basis for treating the earlier team forecast as a McCord-specific estimate. Indianapolis has also changed its passing game by trading Allen and Downs, with Pierce already on injured reserve. The Colts must establish a new receiving rotation rather than assume last week’s personnel remain available.

The Colts improved from seven points in Jacksonville to 23 against Dallas, although both games ended in defeats. Miami scored nine against Detroit after 19 against New England. Those results frame the challenge without quantifying an untested replacement. Both ratings are withheld; the apparent pre-review Over signal is not a current selection.

Matchup areas drawn from the separate efficiency sample through Week 9.

03 / COMPARISON & FORM

The results behind the matchup

Form sample

Historical cutoff

Explore all 32 teams in the weekly tables →

How to read the form and efficiency figures

Home and road form exclude neutral venues. Results are shown newest first, up to ten games. ATS and totals use historical PBP reference lines. Opponent-strength percentages exclude games against the assessed team.

The form controls change the results shown. The forecast uses its separate weighted sample through Week 9. Forecast scores and totals are rounded independently.

04 / PLAYER OPPORTUNITIES

Roles worth watching

The key rushing and receiving roles heading into this matchup.

2026 regular-season totals through Week 9.

05 / WHAT COULD CHANGE

The swing factors

McCord’s confirmed role and first-team preparation.
How Miami replaces Sieler’s work on the defensive front.
Indianapolis sustaining its offensive improvement over a full game.

06 / THE BETTING VIEW

Rating withheld

No model selection for this game.

07 / SOURCES & CONTEXT

Behind the numbers

Data and official team news

Season statistics cover all 136 completed games through Week 9. Player usage comes from the same play-by-play data.

Historical QB pressure splits · 2025

2025 regular season through Week 18.