Round 17 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Port Adelaide v North Melbourne

Port 4–11, 2–6 at home. North 7–8. H2H North 4–1. Unanimous 27/27, 74.0%. Strong tip: North by 20.

SavvyPlays · 2 July 2026 · Adelaide Oval · Sunday 5 July · 4:40PM AEST

Port Adelaide are 4–11 and 2–6 at Adelaide Oval. North Melbourne are 7–8 despite last round’s upset loss to Essendon. The H2H overwhelmingly favours North 4–1. All 27 models tip North at 74.0% confidence — the highest of the round.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01North Melbourne by 20

Port Adelaide’s 4–11 season has been a disaster and their 2–6 record at Adelaide Oval means home ground offers no advantage. They’ve lost five of their last six.

North Melbourne are 7–8 and were upset by Essendon in R16 (–9). But that loss was against a team with a strong H2H record against them. Against Port, North have won four of the last five meetings by margins of 75, 48, 4, and 13.

Unanimous consensus: 27/27 North at 74.0% confidence with +22.3 margin — the highest confidence match of R17. We’re at +20.

4–11

Port Season

7–8

North Season

2–6

Port Home

North 4–1

H2H Last 5

27/27 North

Squiggle

74.0%

Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au/zerohanger.com. All figures verified as of 2 July 2026.