NRL
Season 2026
Featured Previews / Reviews
The NRL's strongest fortress (77%) against its worst bogey record (17%, avg margin -16.8). Strong tip: Storm by 18.
Four straight H2H wins and the Brookvale fortress — but the Cowboys travel to this ground unusually well. Lean tip: Sea Eagles by 6.
Walker out, Ponga and Best back, and four straight Knights wins in the fixture. A model-override tip. Strong: Knights by 8.
PCS gap +59.0, squad ±/G +0.2 v -8.7, and the Eels win just 29% at Allianz. Strong tip: Roosters by 18.
Three straight H2H wins to the Bulldogs, and the form metrics — territory 1.45 v 0.87, completion 81% v 75% — all point the same way. Lean tip: Bulldogs by 4.
Dolphins 3-1 in the fixture — all four prior meetings away. Now it comes to the Redcliffe fortress (59.5%). Lean tip: Dolphins by 6.
Koroisau out — Lanyon debuts at hooker. Squad ±/G gap of 14.0, the widest of the round. Strong tip: Warriors by 12.
Knights 5-0 H2H — longest active streak in the matchup. Dolphins DS 18.3 but remaining squad still +7.8. Lean tip: Knights by 6.
Squad ±/G gap +17.2 to Manly — widest in R18. Sea Eagles field Faulalo, Fogarty and Trbojevic despite DS 9.9. Strong tip: Sea Eagles by 12.
Broncos at 53% Best 17 for the third time this year. Squad PCS gap the widest in R18. Strong tip: Sharks by 10.
Luai out is a positive for the Tigers. Squad ±/G gap +10.6 to the visitors. Lean tip: Wests Tigers by 4.
Cleary, Yeo and Martin all out — DS 11.7. Panthers' remaining squad still averages +12.4 ±/G. Strong tip: Panthers by 10.
Ponga returns at 94% Best 17. Tigers' spine reinforced with Doueihi and Koroisau. Lean tip: Knights by 6.
Dragons 14% at GIO (worst venue bogey in the NRL). Raiders 4-1 H2H. PCS gap +49.5. Strong tip: Raiders by 14.
Hughes out for the Storm. Brookvale fortress at 63%. CI/DS edge +3.6 to the home side. Lean tip: Sea Eagles.
Cleary, To'o and Yeo all return. Squad ±/G gap +22.2 per game. Strong tip: Panthers by 15.
Widest squad PCS gap of the round (+50.9). Dolphins 88% Best 17 vs Warriors 65%. Strong tip: Dolphins by 10.
Both Broncos halves out. Roosters 4-1 H2H. Squad ±/G gap +9.0. Strong tip: Roosters by 10.
Bulldogs 4-1 H2H. Cbus venue bogey (3-10 historical). Squads identical at -5.5 ±/G. Lean tip: Bulldogs.
Rabbitohs 4-1 H2H with a three-game streak. Squad ±/G gap +12.7 per game. Strong tip: Rabbitohs by 8.
Full Roosters Origin contingent returns. Both teams 94% best-17. Sharks lead H2H 3-2. Predict margin +2.4 — Lean Roosters.
AAMI Park 79% Storm fortress. But Raiders lead H2H 3-2 and CI/DS -3.1 favours the visitors. Lean Storm by 8.
Warriors 4-game H2H streak. Mt Smart fortress 59%. Cowboys at 82% best-17 with Origin returners. Lean Warriors.
Sea Eagles 4-1 H2H. Tom Trbojevic returns. Squad ±/G gap +13.9 per game. Strong tip: Sea Eagles by 8.
Panthers 5-0 H2H streak. 71% at Cbus. ELO gap 377. Cleary, To'o, Yeo on reserves. Strong tip: Panthers by 20.
Dolphins DS 13.2 with Katoa, Tabuai-Fidow and Cobbo out — but the named Dolphins squad is still +18 ±/G clear of the Tigers. Strong tip: Dolphins by 10.
Raiders' Spine PCS edge and the Eels' season-long consistency issues. Lean Raiders.
The Raiders and Tigers were shut out. Storm survived the Knights by two. And the tipping tracker ticks to +7.4% ROI through eight rounds.
We tracked every minute of every player's on-field time across 100 NRL matches. The scoring margin while you're on the field doesn't lie.
Not all NRL seasons start equal. We analysed every fixture in the 2026 draw to find out which teams the schedule helps — and which it quietly punishes.
Archive
Largest squad PCS gap of the round. Dragons 1-12 with worst ±/G in the NRL. Strong tip: Knights by 17.
Tigers 82% best-17 vs Titans 65%. Leichhardt fortress 62%. ELO gap 77 points. Predict +8.4 Tigers. Lean Wests Tigers.
Eels ±/G -9.5, all 13 starters negative. Raiders H2H 4-1 streak. Predict -5.0 Raiders. Lean Raiders despite poor CommBank record (33%).
Both teams Origin-depleted. Warriors CI/DS edge +3.6. Sharks 64% at Go Media. Market shorter than model at $1.37. Lean Warriors.
JMK (+20.5) and Bostock (+22.0) lead a quality Dolphins 13. Roosters backline posts three negative starters and two unknowns. Strong tip: Dolphins by 12.
Broncos at 53% Best 17 — Walsh, Staggs, Haas and Carrigan all out. Squad PCS gap of +40.1. Strong tip: Rabbitohs by 10.
A battle between two struggling sides. The signal here is disruption — the Eels are still missing both halves, their best prop, and a starting centre. CI/DS +3.7 is the clearest indicator in this match.
The biggest predicted margin of the round. Sharks 80% at Shark Park, H2H 4-1, facing a Dragons side that is 1-12 with the worst ±/G in the competition.
The most lopsided match of the round. Panthers are 12-1, top of the ladder, return four Origin stars, and have a squad ±/G of +12.8 — the best in the NRL by a wide margin.
The Queensland derby — and a mismatch. Broncos have won 3 straight against the Titans, who are 2-9 and win just 32% at Suncorp.
A genuine top-eight clash in Townsville — and we're tipping the away team. Dolphins are 100% at QCB Stadium (3-0, avg +22), near full strength, and have the Cowboys on short rest without Dearden.
A Lean tip against the grain. The model likes the Roosters — but H2H 4-1, a 38% Roosters record at GIO, and a hangover from last week's 4-18 loss in Melbourne all point one way.
AAMI Park — the most dominant home fortress in the NRL. The Knights have won just 2 of 16 visits. Every structural factor points Melbourne's way.
Brookvale fortress against a Rabbitohs side returning three Origin players but still missing their best. The numbers point one way.