Round 20 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Hawthorn v Essendon

Hawthorn 13–4, 8–1 at home. Essendon 4–14, 0–9 away. Unanimous. Strong tip: Hawthorn by 25.

SavvyPlays · 23 July 2026 · MCG, Melbourne · Saturday 25 July · 4:15PM AEST

Hawthorn are 13–4 and 8–1 at home. Essendon are 4–14 and 0–9 away — winless on the road all season. Unanimous consensus at 78.0% confidence. Essendon’s mini-revival (3 wins from R16–19) has been entirely at home.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Hawthorn by 25

Essendon have won 3 of their last 4 games — but all at home. Their away record of 0–9 is the worst in the AFL. Hawthorn at 13–4 are a genuine top-four side and 8–1 at home.

The H2H favours Hawthorn 3–2. Unanimous: 27/27 at 78.0% with +27.7 margin. We’re at +25.

13–4

Hawthorn Season

4–14

Essendon Season

8–1

Hawthorn Home

0–9

Essendon Away

27/27 Hawks, 78.0%

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from zerohanger.com. All figures verified as of 23 July 2026.