Essendon v Adelaide
Adelaide 14–5, 7 straight wins. Essendon 5–14. H2H Adelaide 4–1. 24/27 consensus. Strong tip: Adelaide by 12.
SavvyPlays · 30 July 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Sunday 2 August · 4:40PM AEST
Adelaide have won seven straight — the second-longest winning streak in the AFL. They’re 14–5 and 5–3 away. Essendon are 5–14 and while they’ve won 3 of their last 4 at home, their overall quality is far below Adelaide’s. The H2H favours Adelaide 4–1. 24 of 27 models agree.
SavvyPlays Tip — Strong
01Adelaide by 12
Adelaide’s 7-game winning streak is remarkable: Geelong (+1), Bulldogs (+57), Melbourne (+17), Port Adelaide (+24), West Coast (+5), Sydney (+16), and Collingwood (+36). At 14–5 they’re a genuine premiership contender and 5–3 away.
Essendon at 5–14 have improved recently (3 of last 4 at home), but they’re still 0–9 away and their home wins came against North Melbourne, St Kilda, and GWS — not top-four sides. Adelaide are a massive step up.
H2H favours Adelaide 4–1. 24/27 models tip Adelaide at 62.6% with +10.8 margin. We’re at +12. The streak and quality difference make this Strong.
Data & Methodology
Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 30 July 2026.
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