Round 21 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Richmond v West Coast

Bottom two clash. Richmond 2–16. West Coast 5–14. Squiggle 17–10 WCE. Lean tip: West Coast by 3.

SavvyPlays · 30 July 2026 · MCG, Melbourne · Sunday 2 August · 1:10PM AEST

The battle of the bottom two. Richmond are 2–16 and 1–9 at home. West Coast are 5–14 and 1–9 away. The Squiggle consensus slightly favours West Coast 17–10 at 50.1% — essentially a coin flip between the two worst teams in the AFL.

SavvyPlays Tip — Lean

01West Coast by 3

Two of the worst teams in the AFL meet at the MCG. Richmond at 2–16 have the worst record in the competition. West Coast at 5–14 are marginally better but 1–9 away.

The H2H favours Richmond 3–2 but both teams are so poor that historical matchup data is unreliable. 17 of 27 models tip West Coast at 50.1% — essentially a dead split. We lean West Coast because they’re the slightly less terrible side, but this is a genuine coin flip.

2–16

Richmond Season

5–14

West Coast Season

1–9

Richmond Home

1–9

WCE Away

17/27 WCE

Squiggle

50.1%

Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 30 July 2026.