Round 21 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

St Kilda v Sydney

Sydney 15–4, 6–3 away. St Kilda 9–9. Squiggle 24/27. Strong tip: Sydney by 12.

SavvyPlays · 30 July 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Saturday 1 August · 1:05PM AEST

Sydney are 15–4 and 6–3 away. St Kilda are 9–9 and 4–4 at home. The H2H favours Sydney 3–2. 24 of 27 models tip Sydney at 63.8% confidence. The Swans’ quality should be too much for mid-table Saints.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Sydney by 12

Sydney at 15–4 are the second-best team in the AFL. Their away record (6–3) is strong, with wins over GWS (+10 in R20) and Adelaide (+16 in R19). St Kilda at 9–9 are mid-table and beat North Melbourne by 32 last round but have been inconsistent.

H2H favours Sydney 3–2. 24/27 models tip Sydney at 63.8% with +12.2 margin. We agree at +12.

15–4

Sydney Season

9–9

St Kilda Season

6–3

Sydney Away

Sydney 3–2

H2H Last 5

24/27 Sydney

Squiggle

63.8%

Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 30 July 2026.