Round 22 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Adelaide v Richmond

Adelaide 15–6. Richmond 3–18. 93.2% confidence, +52.8 margin. Strong tip: Adelaide by 50.

SavvyPlays · 6 Aug 2026 · Adelaide Oval · Saturday 8 August · 7:35PM AEST

Adelaide 15–6 at Adelaide Oval vs Richmond 3–18, the worst team in the AFL. Unanimous at 93.2% confidence with a +52.8 margin. Adelaide have won three straight. Richmond have lost their last three by 70, 33, and 32.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Adelaide by 50

Unanimous consensus at 93.2%. Richmond’s 3–18 is historically bad and they’re 1–8 away. Adelaide at 15–6 with a 9–3 home record should dominate. H2H Adelaide 3–2. We match the models at +50.

15–6

Adelaide Season

3–18

Richmond Season

9–3

Adelaide Home

31/31 Adelaide

Squiggle

93.2%

Confidence

+52.8

Avg Margin

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (31 models). Kickoff times verified from footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 6 August 2026.