Round 22 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

West Coast v Collingwood

Squiggle flipped this: Collingwood 30/31 at 71.9%, +20.9 margin. Even in Perth. Strong tip: Collingwood by 20.

SavvyPlays · 6 Aug 2026 · Optus Stadium, Perth · Sunday 9 August · 4:10PM AEST

Our initial tip was West Coast at home. The Squiggle consensus flipped it emphatically: Collingwood 30–1 at 71.9% confidence with a +20.9 margin. Despite the Perth travel, the models see Collingwood as clearly superior. When 30 of 31 models agree this strongly, you listen.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Collingwood by 20

We initially leaned West Coast at home (6–5 at Optus) given Collingwood’s 3–7 away record. But 30 of 31 Squiggle models disagree — emphatically. The models see a +20.9 margin for Collingwood at 71.9% confidence.

The H2H favours Collingwood 3–2, and despite both teams being in the bottom half (7–14 and 7–13), the models clearly see a quality gap that venue alone can’t bridge. R15 taught us not to go against unanimous consensus. We follow the models.

7–14

West Coast Season

7–13

Collingwood Season

Pies 3–2

H2H Last 5

30/31 Collingwood

Squiggle

71.9%

Confidence

+20.9

Avg Margin

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (31 models). Kickoff times verified from footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 6 August 2026.