Round 23 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast

QLD Derby. Brisbane 7–3 at Gabba, won last by 38. Gold Coast 2–9 away. Unanimous. Strong tip: Brisbane by 25.

SavvyPlays · 13 Aug 2026 · Gabba, Brisbane · Saturday 15 August · 4:15PM AEST

The QLD Derby. Brisbane are 13–9 and 7–3 at the Gabba, fresh off a 38-point win over Hawthorn. Gold Coast are 10–12 and 2–9 away. H2H Brisbane 4–1. Unanimous at 77.4%. Brisbane should dominate.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Brisbane Lions by 25

Brisbane beat Hawthorn by 38 at the Gabba last round — their best performance in weeks. Gold Coast are 2–9 away and lost to GWS by 16 in R22. The H2H is Brisbane 4–1 including a 31-point win earlier this season (R13).

Unanimous: 28/28 at 77.4% with +27.3. We’re at +25.

13–9

Brisbane Season

10–12

Gold Coast Season

7–3

Brisbane Home

2–9

GC Away

Brisbane 4–1

H2H Last 5

28/28 Brisbane, 77.4%

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (28 models). Kickoff times verified from austadiums.com and footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 13 August 2026.