Round 23 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Hawthorn v Collingwood

Hawthorn 15–7, 10–3 at home. Collingwood 8–14. Drew 93-93 in R8. Squiggle 27/28. Strong tip: Hawthorn by 12.

SavvyPlays · 13 Aug 2026 · MCG, Melbourne · Saturday 15 August · 7:40PM AEST

Hawthorn are 15–7 and 10–3 at home. Collingwood are 8–14 and 3–8 away. These teams drew 93–93 in R8 this season. 27 of 28 models tip Hawthorn at 63.0%. Saturday night blockbuster at the MCG.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Hawthorn by 12

The R8 draw (93–93) was one of the games of the season. But Hawthorn have surged since then — 15–7 with a 10–3 home record. Collingwood at 8–14 are out of finals contention and 3–8 away.

H2H is even (2–2 with a draw) but Hawthorn’s current form and home advantage are decisive. 27/28 at 63.0% with +11.1. We’re at +12.

15–7

Hawthorn Season

8–14

Collingwood Season

10–3

Hawthorn Home

Draw 93–93

R8 Result

27/28 Hawks, 63.0%

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (28 models). Kickoff times verified from austadiums.com and footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 13 August 2026.