Round 23 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

North Melbourne v Geelong

Geelong 28/28 unanimous despite 3–7 away. H2H 4–1 incl two 2026 wins. Strong tip: Geelong by 24.

SavvyPlays · 13 Aug 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Saturday 15 August · 3:45PM AEST

Geelong are 15–7 and 12–0 at their home ground — but tonight they’re at Marvel Stadium where they’re 3–7 away. Despite that, all 28 models tip the Cats. The H2H is emphatic: Geelong 4–1 including wins by 45 (R14) and 27 (R19) this season.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Geelong by 24

Geelong’s away record (3–7) is their weakness but the models still back them unanimously. The H2H is decisive: 4–1 including R14 (+45) and R19 (+27) this season. North Melbourne at 10–12 and 8–5 at home have been decent on their own turf, but Geelong have already beaten them twice in 2026.

Unanimous: 28/28 at 75.3% with +24.1. We match the model margin.

10–12

North Season

15–7

Geelong Season

3–7

Geelong Away

Geelong 4–1

H2H Last 5

28/28 Geelong, 75.3%

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (28 models). Kickoff times verified from austadiums.com and footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 13 August 2026.