Round 23 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Port Adelaide v Melbourne

Port 8–14, 5–8 at home. Melbourne 15–7. H2H Melbourne 4–1. 27/28 consensus. Strong tip: Melbourne by 12.

SavvyPlays · 13 Aug 2026 · Adelaide Oval · Saturday 15 August · 8:10PM AEST

Port Adelaide are 8–14 and 5–8 at Adelaide Oval. Melbourne are 15–7 and 4–4 away. The H2H overwhelmingly favours Melbourne 4–1. Near-unanimous at 63.0% confidence. Port’s home record offers no protection.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Melbourne by 12

Melbourne have won four of the last five against Port Adelaide, including by 14 (R20 this season), 26 (2025), 14 (2024), and 7 (2024). Port at 8–14 and 5–8 at home are struggling. Melbourne lost to Fremantle by 23 last round but remain a quality side at 15–7.

27/28 at 63.0% with +12.1. We match at +12.

8–14

Port Season

15–7

Melbourne Season

5–8

Port Home

Melbourne 4–1

H2H Last 5

27/28 Melbourne, 63.0%

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (28 models). Kickoff times verified from austadiums.com and footyalmanac.com.au. All figures verified as of 13 August 2026.