Round 24 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Collingwood v Brisbane Lions

Brisbane 15–6, won last 2 by avg +55. Collingwood 11–10. Squiggle 23–7. H2H Brisbane 3–2. Lean tip: Brisbane by 6.

SavvyPlays · 20 Aug 2026 · MCG, Melbourne · Friday 21 August · 7:40PM AEST

Brisbane are 15–6 and won their last two by 67 (Hawthorn) and 42 (Gold Coast). Collingwood are 11–10 and drew with Hawthorn 92–92 last round. Squiggle leans Brisbane 23–7 at 57.3%. The H2H favours Brisbane 3–2. A tight Friday night clash at the MCG.

SavvyPlays Tip — Lean

01Brisbane Lions by 6

Brisbane’s form has been electric: beat Hawthorn by 67 (R22) and Gold Coast by 42 (R23) at the Gabba. At 15–6 with a 7–4 away record, they travel well. Collingwood at 11–10 drew with Hawthorn 92–92 last round after beating West Coast by 19 (R22).

H2H favours Brisbane 3–2, including a 54-point win in R4 this season. 23/30 models tip Brisbane at 57.3% with +6.4. We agree at +6. A genuine Lean — Collingwood at home (6–5) will compete.

15–6

Brisbane Season

11–10

Collingwood Season

7–4

Brisbane Away

Brisbane 3–2

H2H Last 5

23/30 Brisbane

Squiggle

57.3%

Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (30 models). Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au. All figures verified as of 20 August 2026.