Round 24 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Essendon v Port Adelaide

Essendon 2–20. Port 6–16. H2H Port 4–1. Squiggle 29/30 Port. Strong tip: Port Adelaide by 12.

SavvyPlays · 20 Aug 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Sunday 23 August · 12:20PM AEST

A battle between two of the worst teams in the competition, but Port Adelaide clearly have Essendon’s measure. The H2H is 4–1 to Port including a 63-point win in R2 this season. Essendon are 2–20 — the equal-worst record in the AFL. Near-unanimous at 62.8%.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Port Adelaide by 12

Two of the worst teams in the AFL, but Port Adelaide dominate this matchup 4–1 in the last five H2H, including by 63 (R2 2026), 69 (2024), 4 (2023), and 5 (2023). Essendon at 2–20 have lost their last three by 72, 67, and 36.

29/30 at 62.8% with +11.6. We’re at +12.

2–20
Essendon Season
6–16
Port Season
Port 4–1
H2H Last 5
29/30 Port
Squiggle
62.8%
Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (30 models). Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au. All figures verified as of 20 August 2026.

SavvyPlays — AFL Analytics · © 2026