Round 24 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Melbourne v Western Bulldogs

Melbourne 15–7, 8–2 at MCG. Bulldogs 11–10. Squiggle 29/30 Melbourne. Strong tip: Melbourne by 15.

SavvyPlays · 20 Aug 2026 · MCG, Melbourne · Saturday 22 August · 4:15PM AEST

Melbourne are 15–7 and 8–2 at the MCG. The Bulldogs are 11–10 and drew with Carlton last round. H2H favours the Bulldogs 3–1, but 29 of 30 models tip Melbourne at 68.5%. The MCG fortress and Melbourne’s recent form (won 3 of last 4) override the matchup history.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Melbourne by 15

Melbourne’s MCG form (8–2) is among the best in the competition. They beat Port Adelaide by 76 last round (R23) in their most dominant performance of the season. The Bulldogs’ H2H advantage (3–1) is notable but Melbourne’s current trajectory is upward.

29/30 at 68.5% with +16.8. We’re at +15.

15–7

Melbourne Season

11–10

Bulldogs Season

8–2

Melbourne Home

Bulldogs 3–1

H2H

29/30 Melbourne

Squiggle

68.5%

Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus sourced directly from the Squiggle API (30 models). Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au. All figures verified as of 20 August 2026.