Biltmore Championship Recap
The Cliffs at Walnut Cove · September 17–20, 2026
Jacob Bridgeman won the Biltmore Championship at -26 with a closing 61 and +15.9 SG for the week. Our Best Bet Ben Kohles was the live one: 65-63-65 had him second after 54 holes, one shot behind Neal Shipley, before a Sunday 73 dropped him to T15. Kevin Yu T24. Fishburn and Grillo missed the cut. Week -2.5u. New format running P/L: +17.05u through nine weeks.
Bridgeman Wins at -26. Kohles Fades From One Back.
| # | Player | Odds | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kohles, Ben | $76 | WIN 1.0u | T15 | ✗ |
| 2 | Yu, Kevin | $51 | E/W 0.5u | T24 | ✗ |
| 3 | Fishburn, Patrick | $129 | E/W 0.5u | CUT | ✗ |
| 4 | Grillo, Emiliano | $71 | E/W 0.5u | CUT | ✗ |
Jacob Bridgeman won the Biltmore Championship at -26 with a closing 61 and +15.9 SG for the week. Ben James also shot 61 on Sunday to finish second at -24. Our Best Bet Ben Kohles was the live one: rounds of 65-63-65 had him second after 54 holes, one shot behind Neal Shipley, before a Sunday 73 dropped him to T15. Kevin Yu finished T24. Patrick Fishburn and Emiliano Grillo missed the cut. Week P/L: -2.5 units. The Kohles edge was real for 54 holes. +2.6pp on Thursday, second on the leaderboard on Saturday night, then -4.1 SG putting on Sunday undid it. Nothing about the process changes: a Best Bet that is one shot off the lead going into the final round is exactly what the edge is supposed to buy. Watchlist: no hits. Doug Ghim T17 ($32) was the best of the tracked players. Beau Hossler and Davis Thompson missed the cut.
Season P/L Tracker — New Format, Nine Weeks
Two profitable weeks in nine. A full-outlay loss on a week where the Best Bet led into Sunday is the cost of WIN-only staking on the top play; the framework keeps the place upside on the E/W tier and the payoff on the Best Bet tier concentrated in outright wins.
Season Status
Six outright winners: Snedeker $351, Rai $281, Sterne $501, Clark $60, Fitzpatrick $17, Winther $126. Two major champions. Casey 2nd at $105. New format P/L: +17.05u through nine weeks.
Methodology: Monte Carlo simulation of the field over 10,000 trials, weighting strokes-gained skill estimates, course-fit, and recent form. Edge = our win% − market-implied%.
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Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 30 Sept
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice