Wyndham Championship
Sedgefield Country Club · August 6–9, 2026
Sedgefield Country Club is the most putting-dominant course of the season — 40% of scoring variance. No Best Bet this week: the highest edge on the card is +1.4pp, below the +1.5pp threshold, so all four staked plays are each-way at standard terms. Total outlay: 2.0 units.
Sedgefield Country Club
Donald Ross design, par 70, 7,131 yards. A classic setup where precision and touch on and around greens separate contenders. 2,753 historical rounds and 73 players with 8+ rounds of course history — our deepest profile of the season. The most putting-dominant course of the season at 40% — the hot putter wins at Sedgefield.
This Week's Plays — The Staked Card, 2.0 Units
✅ Meissner, Mac
+1.4pp win edge — co-highest on the card. +0.39 SG:PUTT on a 40% putting course. T3 at the Schwab earlier this season ($71). Model's #3 skill estimate with 19.3% T10 probability.
✅ Roy, Kevin
+1.4pp win edge at a huge price. 11.3% T10 probability vs market ~7.8%. The model's classic mid-tier place value play — high variance, big payout if he contends.
✅ Eckroat, Austin
+1.0pp win edge, +5.4pp T10 edge — strongest T10 edge on the staked card. Recurring longshot value at $251. The profile that delivered Sterne $501 and Rai $281.
✅ Jaeger, Stephan
+1.0pp win edge, +3.6pp T10 edge. +0.38 SG:APP with strong course fit at Sedgefield. 11.3% T10 probability at a generous price.
No Best Bet this week. The highest edge is +1.4pp (Meissner and Roy), below the +1.5pp Best Bet threshold. All four plays are each-way at standard terms — 1/5 odds, 5 places. Total outlay: 2.0 units. All prices were best available at time of publication.
👀 Watchlist — Tracked, Not Staked
| Player | Price | Edge | T10 Edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson, Davis | $54 | +0.9pp | +6.3pp | Watchlist |
| Clanton, Luke | $216 | +0.7pp | +6.3pp | Watchlist |
| Phillips, Chandler | $257 | +0.7pp | +6.6pp | Watchlist |
| Brennan, Michael | $76 | +0.6pp | -0.1pp | Watchlist |
| Fishburn, Patrick | $301 | +0.6pp | +4.3pp | Watchlist |
| Grillo, Emiliano | $93 | +0.6pp | +4.6pp | Watchlist |
| Blanchet, Chandler | $301 | +0.6pp | +4.6pp | Watchlist |
| Poston, J.T. | $71 | +0.5pp | +3.2pp | Watchlist |
| Kirk, Chris | $77 | +0.5pp | +5.7pp | Watchlist |
| Koepka, Brooks | $75 | +0.5pp | +2.2pp | Watchlist |
The rest of the model's positive-edge output. Shown for accountability and for punters who want depth — but the season data says these don't clear the staking bar at standard terms.
How It's Built
10,000 simulations. 16,223 rounds. Course-fit from 2,753 rounds at Sedgefield Country Club. 73 players with course history. 147-player full field. Five outright winners this season. Two major champions. New format P/L: -5.0u through two weeks.
Methodology: Monte Carlo simulation of the field over 10,000 trials, weighting strokes-gained skill estimates, course-fit, and recent form. Edge = our win% − market-implied%.
SavvyPlays · Built different. Bet smarter. · Not financial advice. If gambling is a problem for you or someone you know, call GambleAware on 1800 858 858.
SavvyPlays — Game Preview Card
Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 05 Aug
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice