Week 25 Recap
TPC River Highlands · Circolo Golf Torino · June 25-28, 2026
A week after winning the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, Wyndham Clark finished T5 at the Travelers Championship. The 🔥 Best Bet tier delivered for the second consecutive week. Meanwhile in Turin, the Euro card produced three T10 finishes — Lagergren 4th, Winther and Da Costa Rodrigues both T6. Twelve events with T10 hits out of thirteen reviewed this season.
Travelers Championship — TPC River Highlands
Clark, Wyndham — T5 at $43
🔥 Best Bet (1.0u) · +2.9pp win edge · Post-major no hangover
Clark at T5 with +8.1 SG across four rounds. The U.S. Open champion showed no post-major hangover — finishing at -18, three back of Viktor Hovland who won at -21 in a playoff with Scheffler. Clark was our 🔥 Best Bet at $43 with +2.9pp edge, and he delivered a top-5 finish for the second straight week. The Best Bet tier has now produced: WON (U.S. Open) → T5 (Travelers) in consecutive weeks. Before that, Clark also posted T11 with +8.0 SG at the Canadian Open. The tier is finding genuine edge at the top of the field.
| # | Player | Odds | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wyndham Clark | $43 | 🔥 1.0u | T5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Keith Mitchell | $81 | ✅ 0.5u | T22 | ✗ |
| 3 | Aaron Rai | $56 | ✅ 0.5u | T30 | ✗ |
| 4 | Jackson Suber | $301 | ✅ 0.5u | T30 | ✗ |
| 5 | Eric Cole | $126 | ✅ 0.5u | T38 | ✗ |
| 6 | J.T. Poston | $73 | ✅ 0.5u | 69th | ✗ |
Hovland won from the consensus-adjusted zone — a player where independent benchmarks were more bullish than our model. Scheffler finished 2nd. The top of the leaderboard was dominated by elite names this week, with four of the top five being market favourites.
Open d'Italia — Circolo Golf Torino
Three T10 hits from the Euro card
Lagergren 4th · Winther T6 · Da Costa Rodrigues T6
After the KLM wipeout a few weeks ago, the DP World Tour value list is firing again. Lagergren at 4th ($246) is a standout result — he's been a recurring presence on the Euro value list and finally converted a strong week at -17 in Turin. Winther ($391) continues his quiet consistency — T6 at the Soudal Open earlier this season, T6 again here. Da Costa Rodrigues at T6 was a 👀 Radar pick at $231, confirming the depth of the Euro card carries signal.
| # | Player | Odds | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joakim Lagergren | $246 | ✅ 0.5u | 4th | ✓ |
| 2 | Jeff Winther | $391 | ✅ 0.5u | T6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Daniel Da Costa Rodrigues | $231 | 👀 0.25u | T6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Todd Clements | $162 | ✅ 0.5u | T11 | ✗ |
| 5 | JC Ritchie | $91 | ✅ 0.5u | T48 | ✗ |
| 6 | Joost Luiten | $202 | ✅ 0.5u | CUT | ✗ |
Chacarra won at -24 — his second win in three DP World Tour starts this season (after the KLM Open). He was consensus-adjusted at 9.3x, reinforcing the pattern of elite Euro players outperforming our raw model estimates.
The Week in Numbers
Clark: The Season in Review
From value pick to U.S. Open champion
Clark has appeared on the value list since the Byron Nelson (which he won). Since then: 3rd at the Memorial (+13.4 SG), T11 at the Canadian Open (+8.0 SG), WON the U.S. Open (+14.5 SG), T5 at the Travelers (+8.1 SG). That's five consecutive events as a value pick, with four top-5 finishes and an average of +10.4 SG per event. The model identified him early, the course profiles confirmed it, and the Best Bet tier captured the peak.
Euro value list proving consistent
Sterne WON the Soudal Open. Luiten and Steinlechner hit T7 at the Austrian Alpine. Lagergren 4th, Winther T6, Da Costa Rodrigues T6 at the Open d'Italia. The recurring Euro names — Ritchie, Winther, Clements, Lagergren, Luiten, Dantorp — deliver T10 finishes at prices from $150 to $400. The model's mid-tier edge works across both tours.
Season Scoreboard
| Event | Best Hit | Headline Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Myrtle Beach | Snedeker WON ($351) 🏆 | Brown T9 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Masters | Rose T3 ($39) | Schauffele T9 | — |
| Catalunya | Ritchie T3 ($81) | — | Euro pick hits |
| PGA Championship | Rai WON ($281) 🏆 | Pick #12 of 15 | 👀 0.25u |
| Byron Nelson | Suber 4th ($326) | Jaeger T9, Bauchou T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Soudal Open | Sterne WON ($501) 🏆 | Kinhult T2, Schmidt T8 | 👀 0.25u |
| Charles Schwab | Meissner T3 ($71) | Woodland T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Austrian Alpine | Luiten T7 ($151) | Steinlechner T7 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Memorial | Clark 3rd ($101) | 5 T10 hits — season best | ✅ 0.5u |
| Canadian Open | Suber T4 ($156) | Clark T11 near miss | ✅ 0.5u |
| U.S. Open | Clark WON ($60) 🏆 | 4 T10 hits at a major | 🔥 1.0u |
| Travelers | Clark T5 ($43) | Best Bet delivers again | 🔥 1.0u |
| Open d'Italia | Lagergren 4th ($246) | Winther T6, Da Costa T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
Four outright winners. Two major champions. Twelve events with T10 hits out of thirteen reviewed. The value list delivers across both tours, across full fields and signature events, at regular events and majors. The model finds mid-tier players the market underprices, and the course profiles tell us where they'll thrive.
Up Next
13,556 rounds in the database. Four outright winners. Two major champions. The model keeps delivering. Next preview drops Thursday.
Methodology: Monte Carlo simulation of the field over 10,000 trials, weighting strokes-gained skill estimates, course-fit, and recent form. Edge = our win% − market-implied%.
SavvyPlays · Built different. Bet smarter. · Model powered by 265,000+ rounds · Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.
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Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 30 June
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice