Week 27 Recap
The Renaissance Club · July 9-12, 2026
A week complicated by five of fifteen value picks not starting the event. But Kim Si Woo's T9 as our 🔥 Best Bet at $29 kept the streak alive — fourteen events with T10 hits out of fifteen reviewed. Clark posted +7.9 SG at T13, just missing the top 10 again.
Genesis Scottish Open — The Renaissance Club
Kim, Si Woo — T9 at $29
🔥 Best Bet (1.0u) · T10 hit · Links form confirmed
Kim's T9 as the shortest-priced Best Bet of the season saved the week. His +9.9 SG across four rounds confirmed the model's read on his links game heading into The Open. Clark at T13 with +7.9 SG was the near miss — again — while Rai and Smalley missed the cut.
| # | Player | Odds | Edge | Finish | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Si Woo Kim | $29 | 🔥 1.0u | T9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Wyndham Clark | $22 | ✅ 0.5u | T13 | ✗ |
| 3 | Tyrrell Hatton | $26 | 👀 0.25u | T17 | ✗ |
| 4 | Kurt Kitayama | $101 | 👀 0.25u | T44 | ✗ |
| 5 | Aaron Rai | $41 | 🔥 1.0u | CUT | ✗ |
| 6 | Alex Smalley | $61 | ✅ 0.5u | CUT | ✗ |
Lee Min Woo won from the consensus-adjusted zone. The links profile (OTT 32%) produced a leaderboard dominated by long hitters who could control their ball flight in the East Lothian wind.
The DNS Problem
Five of fifteen picks didn't start
Suber, Reitan, Ewart, Meissner and one other — DNS
Suber (+3.3pp, the largest edge of the season), Reitan, Ewart, Meissner, and others were listed in the projected field but never teed up. The Scottish Open's co-sanctioned field eligibility caught us — a lesson we're addressing with a field verification step in the pipeline.
The Week in Numbers
Season Scoreboard
| Event | Best Hit | Headline Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Myrtle Beach | Snedeker WON ($351) 🏆 | Brown T9 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Masters | Rose T3 ($39) | Schauffele T9 | — |
| Catalunya | Ritchie T3 ($81) | — | Euro pick hits |
| PGA Championship | Rai WON ($281) 🏆 | Pick #12 of 15 | 👀 0.25u |
| Byron Nelson | Suber 4th ($326) | Jaeger T9, Bauchou T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Soudal Open | Sterne WON ($501) 🏆 | Kinhult T2, Schmidt T8 | 👀 0.25u |
| Charles Schwab | Meissner T3 ($71) | Woodland T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Austrian Alpine | Luiten T7 ($151) | Steinlechner T7 | ✅ 0.5u |
| Memorial | Clark 3rd ($101) | 5 T10 hits — season best | ✅ 0.5u |
| Canadian Open | Suber T4 ($156) | Clark T11 near miss | ✅ 0.5u |
| U.S. Open | Clark WON ($60) 🏆 | 4 T10 hits at a major | 🔥 1.0u |
| Travelers | Clark T5 ($43) | Best Bet delivers again | 🔥 1.0u |
| Open d'Italia | Lagergren 4th ($246) | Winther T6, Da Costa T6 | ✅ 0.5u |
| John Deere | Higgo T5 ($151) | Brown T11 near miss | ✅ 0.5u |
| Scottish Open | Kim T9 ($29) | 5 of 15 picks DNS | 🔥 1.0u |
Four outright winners. Two major champions. Fourteen events with T10 hits out of fifteen reviewed. The streak survived a week where a third of the card never teed up.
Up Next
The Open Championship at Royal Portrush — the Dunluce Links. Kim's T9 confirmed the links form the model wanted to see. Clark's +7.9 SG says the U.S. Open champion is trending at the right time. Four outright winners. Two major champions. The third major of our season awaits.
Methodology: Monte Carlo simulation of the field over 10,000 trials, weighting strokes-gained skill estimates, course-fit, and recent form. Edge = our win% − market-implied%.
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Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 15 July
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice