Panthers 68, Tigers 0. And Other Stories.
The Raiders and Tigers were shut out. Storm survived the Knights by two. And the tipping tracker ticks to +7.4% ROI through eight rounds.
SavvyPlays · 10 June 2026 · 108 matches · R1–R14
68-0. That is a number that will not be forgotten. Penrith scored 10 tries at CommBank Stadium on Saturday, never let the Tigers into the game, and recorded the largest winning margin in NRL history. The previous biggest margin was 66 points. Penrith cleared it with room to spare.
Elsewhere in R14, the Storm edged the Knights 32-30 in a game that came down to the last play, the Dolphins continued their unbeaten home form with a 40-14 demolition of the Cowboys, and the Bulldogs survived 14-12 against the Eels.
Below: full scoreboard, tipping recap, the ROI tracker, season standings with home/away splits, and the season-to-date analytical picture.
Round 14 Results
01R14 Scoreboard
Eight matches, two shutouts, and a result that will be talked about for years. Penrith obliterated the Tigers 68-0 at CommBank — the largest winning margin in NRL history. The Raiders were also shut out 26-0 by the Roosters in Canberra. At the other end of the scale, the Storm survived 32-30 against the Knights and the Bulldogs held on 14-12 against the Eels.
Penrith led 38-0 at half-time and ran in 10 tries. The previous largest NRL margin was 66 points. The Raiders were also shut out 26-0 by the Roosters — two scoreless teams in the same round has happened just twice in NRL history. The Panthers have now been involved in three of the four shutout wins in 2026.
SavvyPlays Tips
02Round 14: 6 from 8
6/8 in Round 14. Strong tips went 4/5 — the Broncos (backed at home against the Titans) was the key miss, beaten by 5 in an upset. Lean tips went 2/3, with the Raiders H2H call not holding up against a dominant Roosters side.
| Match | Tip | Conf | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs | Sea Eagles | Strong | 28-14 | W |
| Storm v Knights | Storm | Strong | 32-30 | W |
| Raiders v Roosters | Raiders | Lean | 0-26 | L |
| Cowboys v Dolphins | Dolphins | Lean | 14-40 | W |
| Broncos v Titans | Broncos | Strong | 23-28 | L |
| Wests Tigers v Panthers | Panthers | Strong | 0-68 | W |
| Sharks v Dragons | Sharks | Strong | 34-12 | W |
| Bulldogs v Eels | Bulldogs | Lean | 14-12 | W |
Tipping Performance
03R7–R14 ROI Tracker
Tracking flat $100 stakes at median closing-line price across 11 Australian fixed-odds bookmakers. No best-price shopping assumed — consensus market price only.
| Confidence | Tips | Correct | P&L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong | 32 | 24 | +$270 | +8.4% |
| Lean | 28 | 19 | +$172 | +6.1% |
| All | 60 | 43 | +$442 | +7.4% |
Odds sourced from The Odds API closing-line snapshot (10 minutes before kickoff). Median price across 11 available fixed-odds bookmakers used as the benchmark — Sportsbet, TAB, Neds, Ladbrokes, Betr, PlayUp, Unibet, TABtouch, PointsBet, BetRight, Dabble. No Betfair exchange odds. No price-shopping or best-price assumed.
Season to Date
04Team Standings — R1 to R14
108 matches completed through 14 rounds. The Panthers lead comfortably at 12-1 (6-0 at home, 6-1 away) with a +273 point differential — nearly 60 points clear of second-placed Warriors (+154). At the bottom, the Dragons are 1-12 with a -243 differential.
The Sharks' home/away split is stark: 6-2 at home but 1-3 away. The Cowboys are 8-6 with a negative differential (-13) — a warning sign that their winning record is built on narrow margins rather than genuine superiority.
| # | Team | GP | W-L | Home | Away | AvPF | AvPA | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panthers | 13 | 12-1 | 6-0 | 6-1 | 33.6 | 12.6 | +273 |
| 2 | Warriors | 12 | 9-3 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 30.7 | 17.8 | +154 |
| 3 | Sea Eagles | 13 | 8-5 | 4-3 | 4-2 | 28.2 | 19.2 | +117 |
| 4 | Roosters | 12 | 8-4 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 26.9 | 20.8 | +73 |
| 5 | Knights | 13 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 28.5 | 26.0 | +32 |
| 6 | Cowboys | 14 | 8-6 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 24.5 | 25.4 | -13 |
| 7 | Dolphins | 12 | 7-5 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 27.5 | 21.1 | +77 |
| 8 | Sharks | 12 | 7-5 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 29.7 | 24.5 | +62 |
| 9 | Rabbitohs | 12 | 6-6 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 28.2 | 24.5 | +44 |
| 10 | Storm | 14 | 6-8 | 4-3 | 2-5 | 24.7 | 24.9 | -2 |
| 11 | Wests Tigers | 12 | 6-6 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 22.9 | 29.4 | -78 |
| 12 | Broncos | 13 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 21.2 | 26.2 | -66 |
| 13 | Bulldogs | 13 | 5-8 | 4-2 | 1-6 | 17.9 | 25.4 | -97 |
| 14 | Raiders | 13 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 19.2 | 26.7 | -98 |
| 15 | Eels | 13 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 20.7 | 32.4 | -152 |
| 16 | Titans | 12 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 18.3 | 25.3 | -83 |
| 17 | Dragons | 13 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 1-6 | 14.2 | 32.8 | -243 |
The Cowboys are 8-6 but their point differential is -13. They are winning games by very slim margins (3 clutch wins of 6 points or fewer) and losing big when they do lose. Their home/away record is evenly split (4-3, 4-3) but they are not a genuine top-four team based on scoring data. The Cowboys spend only 41% of game time in front — the worst of any winning team.
Match Competitiveness
05Margin of Victory Distribution
108 completed matches through R14. The 2026 season is skewing heavily towards blowouts — 38 of 108 matches (35%) have been decided by 21 or more points. Only 27 matches (25%) were close games decided by 6 or fewer.
The table below shows how each team's wins are distributed — Clutch (won by 6 or fewer), Comfortable (7–12), and Cruise (13+). The Panthers have won 8 of 12 by cruise margin. The Cowboys and Raiders are heavy clutch-win teams — a fragile profile.
| Team | Wins | Clutch | Comfort | Cruise | Losses |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Warriors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Roosters | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| Sea Eagles | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 |
| Sharks | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Dolphins | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Storm | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 |
| Knights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Wests Tigers | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Rabbitohs | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Broncos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| Eels | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| Titans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| Bulldogs | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| Dragons | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Play-by-Play Data
06Time Leading — Season Average
Derived from play-by-play timeline data across all completed matches. The percentage represents how much of each game a team spent in front on the scoreboard, averaged across the season.
| Team | GP | % Leading | % Trailing | % Tied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 13 | 71.4% | 12.7% | 15.9% |
| Sea Eagles | 13 | 60.5% | 26.6% | 13.0% |
| Warriors | 12 | 59.1% | 29.0% | 11.9% |
| Sharks | 12 | 56.8% | 32.6% | 10.6% |
| Knights | 13 | 55.8% | 32.3% | 11.9% |
| Storm | 14 | 53.7% | 31.9% | 14.4% |
| Roosters | 12 | 44.5% | 39.6% | 15.9% |
| Rabbitohs | 12 | 41.9% | 42.0% | 16.1% |
| Wests Tigers | 12 | 41.7% | 45.4% | 12.8% |
| Cowboys | 14 | 41.4% | 42.5% | 16.1% |
| Dolphins | 12 | 37.7% | 46.8% | 15.5% |
| Raiders | 13 | 35.9% | 50.6% | 13.5% |
| Broncos | 13 | 33.9% | 51.7% | 14.4% |
| Bulldogs | 13 | 24.2% | 54.0% | 21.9% |
| Dragons | 13 | 22.4% | 62.1% | 15.5% |
| Titans | 12 | 22.4% | 62.0% | 15.6% |
| Eels | 13 | 19.1% | 61.7% | 19.2% |
The Panthers lead for 71.4% of their game time — more than three times the Eels (19.1%) and more than three times the Dragons (22.4%). They trail for only 12.7% of the time. In 108 matches this season, no team is even close to this level of scoreboard dominance.
The Cowboys are 8-6 but spend only 41.4% of game time in front — the worst of any winning team. They trail 42.5% of game time, meaning they are consistently coming from behind to win. This profile tends to correct itself: teams relying on clutch comebacks regress as the season progresses.
In-Game Patterns
07First Scorer & Half-Time Conversion
Two of the most actionable in-game patterns in rugby league, measured across 108 completed matches in 2026. The team that scores the first Try wins 69% of the time — a useful live-betting signal. The team leading at half-time converts that lead to a win 78% of the time (excluding the 9 games that were tied at the break).
Takeaway for live betting: the combination of first try + halftime lead is a strong signal. In 2026, teams that scored first AND led at half have won at a significantly higher rate than either signal alone.
Season Records
08Shutouts in 2026: 4
Four shutouts through 14 rounds — two of them in Round 14 alone. The Panthers have been the shutout team in three of the four; the fourth was a Cowboys demolition of the cellar-dwelling Dragons in Round 5.
| Rnd | Winner | Score | Loser |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Panthers | 26-0 | Broncos |
| R5 | Cowboys | 32-0 | Dragons |
| R14 | Roosters | 26-0 | Raiders |
| R14 | Panthers | 68-0 | Wests Tigers |
Penrith have shut out opponents in R1 (Broncos 0-26), R14 (Tigers 0-68). They also held the Tigers to 0 again in R14 for the biggest shutout in NRL history. Two shutouts in a single round (R14) is extremely rare — this is the first time it has happened since 2009.
Season Records
09Biggest Winning Margins — Top 10
The season's ten largest winning margins through Round 14. The Panthers' 68-0 win tops the list and stands as the largest margin in NRL history. Seven of the top-10 margins involve either the Panthers, Storm, Roosters, or Sharks — all teams finishing in the top half of the ladder.
| # | Rnd | Match | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R14 | Wests Tigers 0–68 Panthers | Panthers | +68 |
| 2 | R1 | Storm 52–4 Eels | Storm | +48 |
| 3 | R8 | Dragons 16–62 Roosters | Roosters | +46 |
| 4 | R9 | Sharks 52–10 Wests Tigers | Sharks | +42 |
| 5 | R8 | Storm 6–48 Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | +42 |
| 6 | R6 | Eels 10–52 Titans | Titans | +42 |
| 7 | R1 | Sharks 50–10 Titans | Sharks | +40 |
| 8 | R5 | Panthers 50–10 Storm | Panthers | +40 |
| 9 | R3 | Roosters 4–40 Panthers | Panthers | +36 |
| 10 | R5 | Dolphins 18–52 Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | +34 |
Data & Methodology
Results and scores sourced from official NRL data. Play-by-play timeline data processed by SavvyPlays analytics to derive game control figures (time leading/trailing/tied). First scorer and halftime conversion rates computed from timeline event data across all 108 completed matches.
Tipping ROI calculated using median closing-line price across 11 Australian fixed-odds bookmakers sourced from The Odds API (snapshot 10 minutes before kickoff): Sportsbet, TAB, Neds, Ladbrokes, Betr, PlayUp, Unibet, TABtouch, PointsBet, BetRight, Dabble. No price-shopping or exchange odds assumed. All figures accurate as of Round 14, 10 June 2026.
SavvyPlays — NRL Analytics & Tipping · 2026