About

About SavvyPlays

SavvyPlays turns data into clarity. We publish model-driven previews and verified picks across golf, NRL, NBA and more — no hot takes, just the numbers and an honest read on where the market has the price wrong. We show the numbers; you make the call.

Methodology

Our golf model runs a Monte Carlo simulation of the field over 10,000 trials, weighting strokes-gained skill estimates, course-fit, and recent form. Edge is defined simply as our win% minus the market-implied%, so every pick on a card carries a positive expected value rather than a gut feeling.

The estimates are built from 265,000+ rounds of strokes-gained data and Phase 2 calibration. The model is transparent about its blind spots — it tends to under-rate elite favourites — and we publish the honest version, even when the results aren't pretty. Nothing here is financial advice. Bet responsibly.