Nikola Jokić
32POINTS29:53MINUTES
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
Nuggets vs Pacers in Mexico City: two wins, different starts
Denver is 4–3 after beating Toronto by 19. Indiana is 3–6 after ending a five-game losing run at Memphis. They meet at Arena CDMX in Mexico City on Sunday at 9am AEDT, with no intervening fixture for either side in the verified schedule.
What shapes this game
A fresh win means something different to each side
This is a neutral-site game at Arena CDMX in Mexico City, with Indiana the designated home team. Denver's 128–109 win over Toronto followed a 118–110 home loss to Portland and took the Nuggets to 4–3. Indiana's 107–103 win at Memphis ended five consecutive defeats and left the Pacers at 3–6. Both therefore arrive with a useful latest result, but their starts are not interchangeable. Denver has won four of seven; Indiana is still working from a losing record despite the improvement in its last outing. The verified schedule has no game for either team between this early preview and Sunday's 9am AEDT tip, so there is no intervening result currently waiting to reshape the comparison.
Denver's Toronto result was built on accurate shooting
Nikola Jokić scored 32 points in 29:53 against Toronto, with Bryce Hopkins adding 18 in 27:33 and Aaron Gordon 17 in 25:00. Denver made 48 of 78 field-goal attempts, including nine of 23 threes, and 23 of 27 free throws. Toronto made 41 of 85 from the field. Both teams committed 15 turnovers, while Toronto had 11 offensive rebounds against Denver's seven. That makes the Nuggets' shooting return a more useful part of this result than a broad claim that they controlled every aspect. It remains one completed performance, not a shooting level to assume against Indiana.
Indiana's narrower win still broke a difficult sequence
Andrew Nembhard scored 22 in 37:40 at Memphis, and Pascal Siakam added 20 in 30:00. Indiana made 40 of 88 field-goal attempts, including 12 of 37 threes, and 15 of 17 free throws. Memphis made 41 field goals and also hit 12 threes, but finished nine of 15 at the line. The Pacers committed 15 turnovers against the Grizzlies' 19, while Memphis had more offensive rebounds, 13 to eight. Indiana found enough in those mixed returns to win by four. Ending the losing run matters to the record; it does not by itself establish that the earlier problems have disappeared.
The season numbers keep the latest wins in proportion
Denver has scored 115.4 points per game and allowed 114.7 across seven games, an average margin of plus 0.7. Indiana has scored 111.2 and allowed 114.2 across nine, an average margin of minus 3.0. The Nuggets' effective field-goal percentage is 56.1%, against the Pacers' 53.5%, while Indiana's turnover rate is slightly lower, 14.9% against 15.5%. The schedules and samples differ, and these figures carry no opponent or availability adjustment. Denver's 19-point latest win is stronger than its average margin; Indiana's four-point win is better than its overall scoring balance. Both deserve attention without erasing the rest of the start.
The early view still needs a game-day personnel check
The availability table below separates an official designation from missing information. A missing or unsubmitted team report cannot establish a full squad, and an unlisted player is not certified available. Even an available designation would not confirm a starting role or minutes. Jokić, Hopkins, Nembhard and Siakam appear in the player cards because of their latest completed contributions, not because those cards establish their status for Sunday. With no intervening fixture in the verified schedule, the next preparation can concentrate on current official reporting, rosters and tip time, along with any corrections to the results already used here.
The early numbers
| Season to date | DEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 115.4 | 111.2 |
| Points allowed / game | 114.7 | 114.2 |
| Estimated offence / 100 | 118.2 | 111.3 |
| Estimated defence / 100 | 117.5 | 114.3 |
| Effective FG% | 56.1% | 53.5% |
| Offensive rebound share | 26.8% | 22.0% |
Small samples across different schedules. Estimated possession ratings are descriptive, with no opponent or availability adjustment.
Denver Nuggets · last three
| NBA date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | W 128–109 |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | L 110–118 |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | W 127–120 |
Indiana Pacers · last three
| NBA date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | W 107–103 |
| 2026-11-02 | vs ATL | L 104–108 |
| 2026-11-01 | vs BKN | L 90–98 |
Recent contributions
Each player’s latest completed game. Recorded points and minutes, rather than projected roles or output.
Bryce Hopkins
18POINTS27:33MINUTES
Andrew Nembhard
22POINTS37:40MINUTES
Pascal Siakam
20POINTS30:00MINUTES
Availability and what can change
These are the latest reviewed official game-specific statuses. They can change before tip-off; an unlisted player is not certified available.
Report published Sat, 7 Nov, 10:00 am AEDT. An unlisted name does not certify availability.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| DeRozan, DeMar | Probable | Low Back Spasms |
| Strawther, Julian | Out | Left Knee Sprain |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Furphy, Johnny | Out | Right ACL Repair / Surgery |
| Haliburton, Tyrese | Out | Left Hamstring Strain |
| McConnell, T.J. | Questionable | Right Hamstring Strain |
| Oubre Jr., Kelly | Questionable | Left Calf Contusion |
| Sheppard, Ben | Out | Left Meniscus Surgery |
Before tip-off
- Obtain complete official game-specific reports for both teams on Sunday morning, refresh their rosters and recheck the 9am AEDT tip at Arena CDMX in Mexico City. The early player cards do not establish game-day availability.
- Recheck the latest results and any corrections even though no intervening game is currently scheduled. Complete current official availability is required at Sunday's strict 7am AEDT final checkpoint; missing reports remain unknown.
The SavvyPlays view
Denver's more convincing latest result sits alongside a modest positive average margin. Indiana's win offers a welcome change in its results, while its broader scoring record still needs improvement. That is enough for a useful early matchup story, with the personnel picture requiring another check before game day. Seven and nine games remain below the model gate. The game stays UNRATED, without a projected score, current price or betting selection.
UNRATED · NO FORMAL FORECAST OR BETTING SELECTIONSources and reading notes
Information captured by Sat, 7 Nov, 10:14 am AEDT. Results use the NBA’s US game date. Tip-off times use Australia/Sydney.
How to read the statistics
Effective field-goal percentage adds half a made three to made field goals, divided by attempts. Offensive rebound share is offensive rebounds divided by offensive rebounds plus opponent defensive rebounds. Rates use summed numerators and denominators. Existing possession estimates are retained; no model refit, current market price or betting selection is supplied.