San Francisco is favoured at -7.5 with Dabble AU (1.98), and the model's margin of 12.6 points puts the gap at 5.1, short of the Lean floor for weeks 1 to 5, so this sits as an edge noted, not a lean, on San Francisco. The rating carries a hand adjustment of 0.9 points for Brock Purdy, and blends last season's form with the market's post-offseason view of both teams, scaled by roster continuity; the 2026 sample is still small at 3,666 plays across weeks 1 and 2 and remains mostly outweighed by last season and the market. On last season's charting, Purdy's clean-pocket EPA of 0.446 dwarfs his -0.448 mark under pressure, fitting the model's read on San Francisco's passing game. The model's season record sits at 1-0 against the spread through week 2.

The total sits at 47.5, and the model's 50.6 projection gives a 3.1-point edge, a pass. Last season's weeks 1-5 backtest went 32-46 against the spread and 41-37 on totals, with 53% on totals break-even at -110.