Power Comparison
Matchup Edges
Market
The Call
Washington's quarterback picture is the story here. Jayden Daniels was limited on the Week 4 injury report and his status for London remains uncertain, and there's no approved adjustment for a Daniels-in-brace scenario or for Marcus Mariota stepping in. The model margin and total simply aren't published for this one: there's no rating basis for Indianapolis-Washington until starter availability and the model's adjustment basis are established. Indianapolis carries a hand adjustment of 0.4 points for Daniel Jones, part of a rating built from last season's numbers blended with the market's post-offseason view of the team and scaled by roster continuity, but that's the only quarterback value locked in on either side. The market has Washington at -3.5, best price 4.0 at PlayUp.
With no rating to work from, there is simply nothing to price here either way. The one thing worth watching before kickoff is the starter availability update from Washington's camp; once Daniels' status, or his replacement, is confirmed and the model's adjustment basis is established, the game can be rated.
Situational
| Shell | WAS usage | IND EPA/db | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cover 1 | 25% (152 snaps) | +0.13 (135 snaps) | +0.06 |
| Cover 3 | 24% (147 snaps) | +0.03 (158 snaps) | +0.06 |
| Cover 2 | 19% (120 snaps) | +0.13 (138 snaps) | 0.00 |
| Cover 4 | 16% (96 snaps) | +0.12 (64 snaps) | +0.07 |
| Shell | IND usage | WAS EPA/db | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cover 3 | 26% (182 snaps) | +0.08 (170 snaps) | +0.06 |
| Cover 2 | 24% (167 snaps) | +0.12 (103 snaps) | 0.00 |
| Cover 1 | 24% (166 snaps) | -0.18 (156 snaps) | +0.06 |
| Cover 4 | 8% (52 snaps) | +0.21 (49 snaps) | +0.07 |
| 2-Man | 7% (47 snaps) | — | +0.07 |
| Cover 0 | 6% (40 snaps) | — | +0.10 |
Tracked Bets
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