Tampa Bay plans to start quarterback Jalon Daniels again while Baker Mayfield remains sidelined by his right-thumb injury, but the model has no rating basis for a supported Daniels-for-Mayfield adjustment. Both markets remain UNRATED. The offense's historical plays include different quarterbacks, and naming Daniels does not turn that sample into a projection specifically for him.

Pittsburgh has the stronger offensive model profile, with short-right passing a prominent matchup opportunity for Aaron Rodgers. Tampa Bay's lower defensive EPA allowed provides a counterweight, so this is not simply an across-the-board Pittsburgh advantage. Antoine Winfield Jr.'s absence from Wednesday practice could matter to that resistance if it continues. On the other side, Tampa Bay's deeper passing opportunities would test a Steelers secondary with Jalen Ramsey absent and Jamel Dean limited. Tristan Wirfs participated fully, a more encouraging sign for Daniels' protection. Wednesday participation is not a final game designation, and the injury context has not been converted into points. The game remains a matchup discussion without a published spread or total rating.