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Travelers Championship
TPC River Highlands
Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros
Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees
Bulldogs v Sea Eagles
Sea Eagles 4-1 H2H. Tom Trbojevic returns. Squad ±/G gap +13.9 per game. Strong tip: Sea Eagles by 8.
GWS v Carlton
GWS 4–1 at home. Carlton 2–4 away. Unanimous 27/27 consensus. Strong tip: GWS by 15.
Storm v Raiders
AAMI Park 79% Storm fortress. But Raiders lead H2H 3-2 and CI/DS -3.1 favours the visitors. Lean Storm by 8.
Titans v Panthers
Panthers 5-0 H2H streak. 71% at Cbus. ELO gap 377. Cleary, To'o, Yeo on reserves. Strong tip: Panthers by 20.
Richmond v North Melbourne
Richmond 2–11, worst in the AFL. North Melbourne 4–0 in H2H including 130–55 in R6. Strong tip: North Melbourne by 25.
Warriors v Cowboys
Warriors 4-game H2H streak. Mt Smart fortress 59%. Cowboys at 82% best-17 with Origin returners. Lean Warriors.
St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Bulldogs 4–1 in H2H with avg margin +58. But coming off a 57-point loss. The regression question returns. Lean tip: Bulldogs by 6.
Collingwood v Port Adelaide
Collingwood 5–0 in the last 5 H2H. Port Adelaide 4–9, 2–4 away. Strong tip: Collingwood by 20.
Wests Tigers v Dolphins
Dolphins DS 13.2 with Katoa, Tabuai-Fidow and Cobbo out — but the named Dolphins squad is still +18 ±/G clear of the Tigers. Strong tip: Dolphins by 10.
Roosters v Sharks
Full Roosters Origin contingent returns. Both teams 94% best-17. Sharks lead H2H 3-2. Predict margin +2.4 — Lean Roosters.
Knights v Dragons
Largest squad PCS gap of the round. Dragons 1-12 with worst ±/G in the NRL. Strong tip: Knights by 17.
Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide 4–9 but every model backs them. Melbourne 9–5 but 3–4 away. 28/28 Squiggle consensus for the Crows. Lean tip: Adelaide by 10.
Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees
Fremantle v Geelong
Fremantle 12–1. Geelong 1–4 away. The R1 rematch in Perth. The Dockers’ only loss was to this opponent. Strong tip: Fremantle by 15.
Gold Coast v Hawthorn
R7 reverse: Hawthorn won by 49 at home. Now they travel to the Gold Coast where the Suns are 5–1. H2H at this venue overwhelmingly favours the Suns. Lean tip: Hawthorn by 8.
Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs
U.S. Open
Shinnecock Hills Golf Club
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Wests Tigers v Titans
Tigers 82% best-17 vs Titans 65%. Leichhardt fortress 62%. ELO gap 77 points. Predict +8.4 Tigers. Lean Wests Tigers.
Warriors v Sharks
Both teams Origin-depleted. Warriors CI/DS edge +3.6. Sharks 64% at Go Media. Market shorter than model at $1.37. Lean Warriors.
Eels v Raiders
Eels ±/G -9.5, all 13 starters negative. Raiders H2H 4-1 streak. Predict -5.0 Raiders. Lean Raiders despite poor CommBank record (33%).
New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs
Fifty-three years. One game. The New York Knicks can end the longest championship drought in the Eastern Conference tonight in San Antonio.
Richmond v Brisbane Lions
Richmond 2–10. Brisbane the defending premiers. Four straight H2H wins to the Lions including 163–44 in 2024. 89.3% model confidence. Strong tip: Brisbane by 40.
St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney
GWS 4–1 at home, 1–5 away. St Kilda own the R2 result. H2H favours the Giants 4–2 but venue favours the Saints. Lean tip: St Kilda by 6.
North Melbourne v West Coast
Home team, away ground. North Melbourne are listed as home but play at Optus Stadium — where West Coast beat them by 17 ten weeks ago. Lean tip: North Melbourne by 8.