Panthers v Broncos
The Broncos get everyone back and it still isn't enough on the numbers — PCS gap +31.3, ELO gap 306, H2H 4-1. Strong tip: Panthers by 20.
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Dolphins v Cowboys
Four of the last five and a 57% Suncorp record say Dolphins — but the 0-66 hangover and the worst Consistency Index in the NRL say tread carefully. Lean tip: Dolphins by 6.
Warriors v Dragons
Five Warriors return at the Mt Smart fortress against a 2-14 Dragons side with the worst squad numbers in the competition. Strong tip: Warriors by 20.
Boston Red Sox at New York Mets
New York Yankees at Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers
Storm v Titans
The NRL's strongest fortress (77%) against its worst bogey record (17%, avg margin -16.8). Strong tip: Storm by 18.
Rabbitohs v Knights
Walker out, Ponga and Best back, and four straight Knights wins in the fixture. A model-override tip. Strong: Knights by 8.
Wests Tigers v Warriors
Koroisau out — Lanyon debuts at hooker. Squad ±/G gap of 14.0, the widest of the round. Strong tip: Warriors by 12.
Dolphins v Sharks
Dolphins 3-1 in the fixture — all four prior meetings away. Now it comes to the Redcliffe fortress (59.5%). Lean tip: Dolphins by 6.
Sea Eagles v Cowboys
Four straight H2H wins and the Brookvale fortress — but the Cowboys travel to this ground unusually well. Lean tip: Sea Eagles by 6.
Bulldogs v Raiders
Three straight H2H wins to the Bulldogs, and the form metrics — territory 1.45 v 0.87, completion 81% v 75% — all point the same way. Lean tip: Bulldogs by 4.
Roosters v Eels
PCS gap +59.0, squad ±/G +0.2 v -8.7, and the Eels win just 29% at Allianz. Strong tip: Roosters by 18.
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Fremantle v Sydney
1st v 2nd. Fremantle 15–1, 7–0 at home. Sydney 13–3. Squiggle 22–5. Lean tip: Fremantle by 8.
Collingwood v North Melbourne
Collingwood 4–1 in H2H but 6–9 overall. North 8–8. Squiggle 18–9. Lean tip: Collingwood by 4.
St Kilda v Port Adelaide
Port 4–12, 2–6 away. St Kilda 6–8. Unanimous 27/27, 73.2%. Strong tip: St Kilda by 20.
Melbourne v Richmond
Melbourne 9–6, 6–1 at MCG. Richmond 2–14. 87.9% confidence, +43.3 margin. Strong tip: Melbourne by 40.
Carlton v Hawthorn
Carlton 5-game streak, 4–1 in H2H. Hawthorn 11–4. Squiggle 15–12. Lean tip: Carlton by 4.
Adelaide v Gold Coast
Adelaide 11–5, 5 straight wins, 7–2 at home. Gold Coast 1–6 away. Unanimous. Strong tip: Adelaide by 18.
Brisbane Lions v Essendon
Brisbane 9–6, Gabba advantage. Essendon 3–14, 0–8 away. H2H Brisbane 4–1. Strong tip: Brisbane by 25.
Western Bulldogs v West Coast
West Coast 4–12, 1–7 away. Bulldogs 7–8. Unanimous 27/27, 74.4%. Strong tip: Bulldogs by 20.
Greater Western Sydney v Geelong
Dead split: Squiggle 14–13. Geelong 2–5 away. GWS 4–3 at home. Lean tip: GWS by 3.
Genesis Scottish Open
The Renaissance Club
Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals
Sydney v Western Bulldogs
Sydney 12–3, 7–1 at home. Bulldogs 7–7 off a bye. 26/27 consensus. Strong tip: Sydney by 15.
Richmond v Carlton
Richmond 2–13, worst in AFL. Carlton 7–7, 4 straight wins. Unanimous 27/27. Strong tip: Carlton by 20.