Rabbitohs v Storm
The model says coin flip, but the Storm are at 59% Best 17 with Wishart and Toelau in the halves. With both sides disrupted, the CI/DS ledger (+3.3 Souths) breaks the tie. Lean tip: Rabbitohs.
Find your competition
The preview archive
Explore current coverage or revisit an earlier fixture.
114 previews · Page 3 of 4
Sea Eagles v Sharks
Four straight to the Sharks, the round's widest PCS gap (+49.1) and Cronulla at 94% Best 17. Brookvale is a 63% Manly fortress, but the class gap is decisive. Strong tip: Sharks by 4.
Cowboys v Broncos
The Broncos own the H2H (4-1) and a 67% record in Townsville, but the model likes the Cowboys by 5.5 with a +11.7 PCS edge. CI/DS is level. Lean tip: Cowboys by 5.
Dragons v Titans
A coin-flip model line (Titans -0.9) between two strugglers. The Dragons' 64% Jubilee record, a 3-2 recent H2H and a +3.2 CI/DS edge tip a thin lean home. Lean tip: Dragons.
Knights v Roosters
Five straight to the Roosters, 75% for the visitors at McDonald Jones and a +10.0 model margin. The squads are close but the trends are one-way. Strong tip: Roosters by 10.
Titans v Sea Eagles
The edge model's strongest away signal of the round: Manly wins 62% at Cbus, the Titans just 43% at home. Strong tip: Sea Eagles by 14.
Raiders v Rabbitohs
Five straight to Canberra in the fixture, but the model calls it a coin flip and the squad numbers favour Souths. Lean tip: Raiders by 2.
Roosters v Storm
The Storm arrive without Munster and Hughes; the Roosters without Tedesco. The disruption ledger favours the home side. Lean tip: Roosters by 6.
Bulldogs v Wests Tigers
Two struggling sides, but the Tigers' 37% record at Accor and Koroisau's demotion to the reserves tip it. Lean tip: Bulldogs by 6.
Sharks v Knights
Fresh off a 66-0 statement, the Sharks return to their 83% fortress against a Knights side losing two forwards. Strong tip: Sharks by 12.
Panthers v Broncos
The Broncos get everyone back and it still isn't enough on the numbers — PCS gap +31.3, ELO gap 306, H2H 4-1. Strong tip: Panthers by 20.
Dolphins v Cowboys
Four of the last five and a 57% Suncorp record say Dolphins — but the 0-66 hangover and the worst Consistency Index in the NRL say tread carefully. Lean tip: Dolphins by 6.
Warriors v Dragons
Five Warriors return at the Mt Smart fortress against a 2-14 Dragons side with the worst squad numbers in the competition. Strong tip: Warriors by 20.
Storm v Titans
The NRL's strongest fortress (77%) against its worst bogey record (17%, avg margin -16.8). Strong tip: Storm by 18.
Rabbitohs v Knights
Walker out, Ponga and Best back, and four straight Knights wins in the fixture. A model-override tip. Strong: Knights by 8.
Wests Tigers v Warriors
Koroisau out — Lanyon debuts at hooker. Squad ±/G gap of 14.0, the widest of the round. Strong tip: Warriors by 12.
Dolphins v Sharks
Dolphins 3-1 in the fixture — all four prior meetings away. Now it comes to the Redcliffe fortress (59.5%). Lean tip: Dolphins by 6.
Sea Eagles v Cowboys
Four straight H2H wins and the Brookvale fortress — but the Cowboys travel to this ground unusually well. Lean tip: Sea Eagles by 6.
Bulldogs v Raiders
Three straight H2H wins to the Bulldogs, and the form metrics — territory 1.45 v 0.87, completion 81% v 75% — all point the same way. Lean tip: Bulldogs by 4.
Roosters v Eels
PCS gap +59.0, squad ±/G +0.2 v -8.7, and the Eels win just 29% at Allianz. Strong tip: Roosters by 18.
Broncos v Sharks
Broncos at 53% Best 17 for the third time this year. Squad PCS gap the widest in R18. Strong tip: Sharks by 10.
Dragons v Wests Tigers
Luai out is a positive for the Tigers. Squad ±/G gap +10.6 to the visitors. Lean tip: Wests Tigers by 4.
Eels v Sea Eagles
Squad ±/G gap +17.2 to Manly — widest in R18. Sea Eagles field Faulalo, Fogarty and Trbojevic despite DS 9.9. Strong tip: Sea Eagles by 12.
Panthers v Rabbitohs
Cleary, Yeo and Martin all out — DS 11.7. Panthers' remaining squad still averages +12.4 ±/G. Strong tip: Panthers by 10.
Knights v Dolphins
Knights 5-0 H2H — longest active streak in the matchup. Dolphins DS 18.3 but remaining squad still +7.8. Lean tip: Knights by 6.
Knights v Wests Tigers
Ponga returns at 94% Best 17. Tigers' spine reinforced with Doueihi and Koroisau. Lean tip: Knights by 6.
Dolphins v Warriors
Widest squad PCS gap of the round (+50.9). Dolphins 88% Best 17 vs Warriors 65%. Strong tip: Dolphins by 10.
Cowboys v Panthers
Cleary, To'o and Yeo all return. Squad ±/G gap +22.2 per game. Strong tip: Panthers by 15.
Eels v Rabbitohs
Rabbitohs 4-1 H2H with a three-game streak. Squad ±/G gap +12.7 per game. Strong tip: Rabbitohs by 8.
Sea Eagles v Storm
Hughes out for the Storm. Brookvale fortress at 63%. CI/DS edge +3.6 to the home side. Lean tip: Sea Eagles.