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Bulldogs v Warriors

Canterbury own a three-game head-to-head streak, but the Warriors lead on ELO (+133), CI/DS (+3.5) and bench PCS (42.6 v 10.7). The 42% Accor record is the risk. Lean tip: Warriors by 9.

Eels v Panthers

Five straight Panthers wins, a 22.5-point squad-average gap and a -24.6 PCS deficit for the Eels. The losing streak is real but the class gap is vast. Strong tip: Panthers by 18.

Raiders v Wests Tigers

Canberra are middling, but the Tigers have named a bottom-tier sheet at -10.7 squad ±/G. Edge Engine +3 Lean Home, model margin +15.4. Strong tip: Raiders by 14.